20th March 2008, 06:28 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,363
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by jfc
You must have backers to match every $ layed, so that statistic alone means very little.
It might mean that connections fancied the runner.
Or it might mean the very opposite.
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Considering the horse started at around $2.70 on the tote, it would seem that in fact the opposite was true.
The horse was plonked on the exchange because it was fancied and they got every dollar available at prices down to the odds on.
So much money was matched because people kept laying at what they thought were value unders.
I.E. The further it was matched, the more money to lay it.
It is of note, that this highly plunged horse was first up.
I feel that someone had information which didn't pan out on the day.
From the stewards:
Race 3 – lifetime trophies warrnambool 0-68 handicap - 1000 metres: OTTENS was a little slow to begin.
Near the 500 metres ALMOST FRENCH shifted out and brushed OTTENS which became unbalanced.
When asked if he could offer any explanation for OTTENS’ performing below expected S. Murphy, the filly’s rider, explained that if there was no pace in the early stages he was instructed to lead, however, if there was early pace he was to take a sit in the small field. S. Murphy added that the filly settled fourth with cover and added she had a slight tendency to over race approaching the 700 metres and the filly did not let down as expected when he commenced to ride her along near the 400 metres. He further added that that after being brushed by ALMOST FRENCH, OTTENS did not feel fluent in its action. Stewards interviewed Darren Weir, Trainer of OTTENS, if he could also offer an explanation for the filly’s below expected performance today. He explained that the filly had won a trial at Ararat on 6th February, 2008 however had developed a foot abscess subsequent to that trial and he was unable to exercise the filly other than to swim and walk her daily for two weeks. He further added that the filly had galloped over 600 metres on Thursday, 13th March, and the filly worked well and he believed OTTENS was presented fit enough today to be competitive. Stewards notified Mr. Weir that they wish to examine all aspects of betting in this race and ordered a swab sample to be taken from OTTENS. The enquiry was adjourned to a date to be fixed. A veterinary examination of OTTENS subsequent to the event failed to reveal any abnormalities.
In my opinion, a punter or punters had the trial and workout information, but didn't know of the abscess, nor that the horse was subsequently unable to work properly.
Simply a gamble that went astray. |