My own feeling is that the stats on the last race at a meeting might be a little warped by the presence of "false" favourites or whatever you may choose to call them.

Perfect example, Pelt ran favourite yesterday at BR8, while Out Break (a kilo worse) and Zuka (no weight differential) both beat it two weeks ago and were competing in the race yesterday.

A case can be made for the alley they were coming from, but Outbreak was sent out at $11.10 the win having beaten Pelt ($4.80) by 3.5 lengths a fortnight before and racing over the same distance again.

I'm loathe to consider stats on favourites in the last, unless they are the SP favourites, which gives you The Expat for the race discussed. Notch that one up as a win for the favourite.

Comments welcomed.