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Old 12th July 2002, 09:27 AM
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I only just put it together for a bit of fun.

It has however picked a few longshots at country/prov meetings where home town horses can upset the more favoured horses at good odds.

You often see city horses run on country tracks for the first time and flop due to their weight or trouble handling the track or whatever. With locals, you also don't have to worry about horses travelling too far.

I used to play a lot of golf, I found it hard to take my game on the road. I don't know if it affects horses as much, but there must be a greater risk of failure if a horse has to travel to a different track, even its it only 100km or so.

The elite horses can win at almost any venue just like the top golfers, but the avg ones can't. That's the theory anyway.

It may work on metro meetings - I don't know.

Distance is one of my criteria when rating a horse. Not the most important but still worth looking at. Why bet on a horse if its 0 from 4 starts at a certain distance???

As for track stats - it depends on the particular track.

I certainly wouldn't back a horse which is 0 from 5 at a certain track. Odds are stacked against it.

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