3rd September 2013, 05:39 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PaulD01
.... the bottom line is that the distribution of betting market returns are often not within the so the called normal range
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Very true Paul, I recently ended a Lay system that went for 2,711 races, had 749 selections for 1 accident and a profit of 6 points. Thought I had one for the Coca Cola vault....lol
Then in the next 241 races, 87 selections, I had 4 accidents.
In other words my win strike rate went from 99.866% to 95.4% in a matter of days. I would defy any mathematical model to predict that outcome! The system might then have gone on for another 1000 selections and had no accidents. This is the very nature of the beast, we grapple with every betting day?
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