19th June 2004, 04:12 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,366
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Quote:
On 2004-06-19 13:08, Mark wrote:
"The academics have taken over the assylum", expected run of outs????, fantasy stuff. I'd be more interested in expected run of ins. Useless information. What do you do when you come to the limit of your so called expected run of outs?, plonk what's left of your bank & confidence on the next selection? (does it know about your expected run of outs?), and if it gets beaten, what then ???
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Hi Mark,
Never been called an academic or a lunatic before but I'll take both on board :lol:
I don't think it's useless information, but a GUIDE - that's all. I'd be dumping my system long before I hit the longest run of outs, not plonking on the next selection.
We all know that horseracing is not like other games of chance, there are variables to the chances, so the LRO is a guide only to what the mathematical expectation should be. Therefore if my system hit anywhere near the average losing sequence - I'd dump it. But that's just my take on it. |