31st January 2019, 11:18 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 641
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Super Rugby Round 25
The dreaded monster of congested fixtures has reared its ugly head again. In earlier commentaries, I pointed out that all three of Man City’s previous losses had been during an accelerated schedule (congested fixtures). I also pointed out that during congested fixtures, the play on the field becomes so unpredictable that the crazy gambling scheme of betting on every underdog becomes profitable.
Sure enough, in Round 24, Man City lost for a fourth time during a congested fixture. If someone bet one unit on all 10 underdogs, they would have more than doubled their money winning 5.00 when Bournemouth beat Chelsea and another 16 when Newcastle beat Man City.
Liverpool have passed Man City in the computer ratings and have a nice five-point lead in the table. Tottenham did not drop points.
Let’s see what crazy things happen in a couple of days during Round 25. I do caution about betting seriously on congested fixtures.
Ray Stefani
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