9th August 2015, 09:01 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 59
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G'day folks,
Please remember that this refers to Dutching Systems ONLY.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Shaun
You are right about race selection, I think that is 50% of the challenge, ..... not sure, still a work in progress.
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This morning I started to build a box cross diagram of all TAB ranks from 1 - 6 run as a Dutch .... ie you could cross Rank 6 with Rank 2 and see what happens. I did this to demonstrate to those of you who 'select' races that, over time, it'll still go tits-up. After spending an hour or so I simply gave it away. It was an increasing loser dependent only on Odds rank. The bigger the Odds cross rank additor the worse the result.
This was done using some 2 million results.
Mathematically, even the best Dutch Race Selectors can't dodge the bullet for ever.
The REAL skill is knowing when to quit Dutching and try something else , and that time is when we're in profit .... because over the longer term we lose.
Why ????? Think about the +/- 18% TAB take-out.
Meanwhile, back at the ranch ........................
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