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Old 10th July 2015, 01:28 PM
aussielongboat aussielongboat is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jazzy
I was looking at a simple laying system - 1 rule - lay the worst jockey in the field. (Determining the worst jockey by pairwise comparison).

It looked promising at first, yes there were a lot of $50+ (one was 600 I think), but there were also a few shorties that were let down but having a crap jockey. I spent hours checking the BF SP results, but alas it turns out this one simple rule wasn't enough.

But, something which really surprised me was the number of long (and I mean LONG) shots that placed at big odds.

So I'm gonna go back through all those results again, but this thime record the place prices. Although it worries me that such a counter-intuitive filter might be use for backing...



it worried me too - but its the super prices that you get on BF sometimes that makes a difference.
when you are laying you make small profits per race.
a 150-1 winner can smash you for a few days.


i laid one last week that lost by a nose at 160-1.
is tatts price was about $44
heart attack material.
i hadn't checked the place strategies but i think its probably similia.
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