Spot on again Mr Logic but that is exactly my point. Dont bet on the team plays bet the individual player against player. It is safer. I would always prefer to bet on a two horse race rather than a Melbourne cup field which I think you are when you are trying to predict the outcome of a game involving 18 or more palyers in each team.
I will always look at three good combos in the individual player possessions ie one against one and then all up them to a reasonable divi. So far so good.
Ps Have to disagree about Sydney. They were without their champ kelly and the dees probably had their best team for the year in.