12th April 2022, 04:00 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,365
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I am currently undertaking a linear regression model, but need to add some factors, most importantly up or down in class or same class. With 23 and a bit years of data, I think I can definitely create something with a long term profit for backing or loss for laying. Blinkers first time, gelded etc is not something I have a record of, but still, I think I can come up with something using pure mathematics. In form jockeys and trainers win, but they also lose and that's where I think the profit is. For Example September Run in the William Reid was way over the odds at $17.00, she'd finished 3rd in the Group 1 Newmarket at Flemington beaten only 0.6 lengths and was going over the same distance at the Valley from a Good4 to a Good3.
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