7th February 2014, 05:02 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pat123
Haven't seen any arbs today though.. pretty weird.
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It was a weird day. Every morning one of my routines is to look at every race from yesterday and look at the "spread" of fluctuations for every horse. By 'spread', I mean the space between Open fluc and final Fixed price. Students of my methods know, that there is a lot of information revealed in the DNA of fluctuations. Yesterday was unusual in that the spreads across the board were very tight both horizontally (Open to Fixed) and vertically (Open prices of 1st 5 or 6 favourites). Not sure why it occurs, but my guess is that the bookies are unsure on the winning prospects of the first half dozen horses and are keeping the prices tight in all directions, hence why there wasn't too many Arb opportunities.
What do you do on days like that? If I was a Backer, I'd be looking at the exotics, boxing those clusters for a trifecta. As a Layer, Laying the 2nd group of tailenders. From the screenshot below, this was a pretty common scenario yesterday.
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