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Old 4th February 2008, 10:57 PM
King Cugat King Cugat is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2007
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Pengo

if it was a Saturday and the lowest jock was around 10%. Forget what ranked fav they are the 10% should be in line with those odds.
If you have 100 races that jock will get up 10 times. You cant lay more then $10 - comission - profit. << & even thats if it were a perfect world and you were soley betting on that same jock every race he rides. But your not.

Then theres the fact that your manipulating statistics because your changing jockeys most races and will then have to take run of outs into consideration over more then 1 jockey. i.e. you might be jumping over from jockey to jockey to jockey who had just won previous and wont ride another one for along time to stay in touch with their own personal strike rate.
You either stick to 1 jock or it wont work. Your looking at a jocks strike rates but becuase your not betting on them every race they ride = whats the point of betting based on jockeys strike rates? << your not actually betting on that figure anyway. Your just laying another horse based on a bad jock. Its nothing more then laying a horse based on a bad barrier or bad whatever. The jocks figures are used to identify the weak link your after. Nothing more. Forget all the figures & strike rates that go with it, 1% or 10% or 20% its all irrelavent.
All you have is a system based on picking out the worse jockey in the race, who will rarely be one of the favs anyway. Its a nothing system
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