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  #51  
Old 14th June 2018, 05:49 PM
stixNstonez stixNstonez is offline
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Did play around with Top Weights some time back. Mainly multiple betting. Had a number of filters, but best results came when restricting to those in the first four lines of the prepost market.
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  #52  
Old 15th July 2018, 07:20 AM
armchairjock armchairjock is offline
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Use a number of filters when assessing the winning chance of a top weight
Won't divulge all but three key filters for me are
Distance up to and including 1400m
No apprentice jockey
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100
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  #53  
Old 19th July 2018, 05:41 AM
demodocus demodocus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by armchairjock
Use a number of filters when assessing the winning chance of a top weight
........ three key filters for me are
Distance up to and including 1400m
No apprentice jockey
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100


A sensible place to start.

Sprint race, established rider, AND two other Ratings agencies "rate" the horse.

Then you refine their estimates. If it works, why not.
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  #54  
Old 12th September 2018, 07:35 AM
CrazyHorse CrazyHorse is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by armchairjock
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100

A common element in a lot of my systems
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  #55  
Old 25th April 2019, 11:22 AM
shaun1993 shaun1993 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stixNstonez
Did play around with Top Weights some time back. Mainly multiple betting. Had a number of filters, but best results came when restricting to those in the first four lines of the prepost market.

Quote:
Originally Posted by armchairjock
Use a number of filters when assessing the winning chance of a top weight
Won't divulge all but three key filters for me are
Distance up to and including 1400m
No apprentice jockey
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100


Top Weight
In the first four lines of the prepost market
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100
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  #56  
Old 25th April 2019, 12:41 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Thanks Shaun.

Will try it out.

Cheers,
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  #57  
Old 15th May 2019, 08:25 PM
STARRAFT STARRAFT is offline
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Clear top weighted horse down in class on previous start
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  #58  
Old 16th May 2019, 03:27 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Hi STARRAFT,

Looks ok to me.

Thanks.
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  #59  
Old 9th June 2019, 04:41 PM
POSEIDON POSEIDON is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by STARRAFT
I always take into consideration the clear top weight in a race. Then I sometimes lay, sometimes back, or just ignore.

Best horse in the race according to the handicapper, so yes, consider. However, the top-weight in a handicap is at a disadvantage, giving away weight. You need to consider the field strength. Just how disadvantaged is the horse relative to the field strength.
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  #60  
Old 9th June 2019, 08:46 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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True also.

Interestingly it was Warren Block who researched this factor and he was a non Bettor.
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