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  #21  
Old 3rd March 2021, 12:05 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Posts: 2,835
Wink

Not a good day yesterday. Although the winner was struck in 16 of the 17 races there was a loss of $9. Even though it might be premature I'm slightly altering the method.

Warwick Farm
1/1,3,4,5
2/1
3/1,2,4,5,8,9
4/1,5,6,8
5/2,5,8
6/3,5,6,7,12
7/2,3,4,5,6,7,9
8/1,3,4,5,6,8,9,10,11

Murray Bridge
1/10,13
2/7,10,11
3/2,3,6
4/1,3,4
5/2,6
6/2,6
7/2,4,8

Dombeen
1/1,4,8,11
2/1,6,7,9
3/2,3,5,7,10
4/3,5,6,13
5/2,3,5,6,7,10
6/1,3,5,6,7,18
7/1
8/2,4,5,21

Sandown
1/1,2,5
2/5,7
3/1,2,3,4,5
4/1,3,5,7,10
5/2,3,5,9
6/3,4,5,7,9
7/1,2,3,4,5
8/3,6,9,11,12

Pinjarra
2/1,3,5
3/4,6
4/1
5/1,2,3,5,7
6/3
7/1

Launceston
1/2
2/7,11
3/2,3
4/2,6,9
5/2,7,9,10
6/1,2,3,5,6
7/4,6,7
8/1,2,3,4
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  #22  
Old 3rd March 2021, 04:48 PM
entropy entropy is offline
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Posts: 24
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[QUOTE=michaelg]Hi, Entropy - thanks for your well wishes. You maybe have a good connection with the good Lord because I'm now back into the land of the living - I know how Lazarus must have felt when he came back to life.

Heh heh! Glad to hear this!
I was named after a saint, one of Lazarus's countrymen, any time you need me to put in a word with the Big Guy let me know!

"Punt" in Ancient Egypt was the "land of the gods", keep that in mind!

It's also an Irish currency and also the name of the indentation at the base of many wine bottles, meh!
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  #23  
Old 4th March 2021, 11:31 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Posts: 2,835
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Hi, Entropy. Please ask the Big Guy to make me happy and normal - a simple request.

Yesterday the winner was struck in 39 of the 45 races but lost $11.

Today's selections:

Port Macquarie
1/1,2,3,4,5

Werribee
1/2,3,4,5
2/2,3,4,8,11
3/2,5,7,8,9
4/1,3,5,6,10
5/1,2,3,4,5
7/1,2,4,6,8
8/1,5,6,7,8

Albany
1/2,3,4
2/1,2,3,6
3/1,2,4,5
4/2,6,7,9,10

Pakenham
1/1,2,3
2/2,5,6,7
3/2,3,4,7,10
4/4,5,7,10,11
5/1,2,4,5
6/1,2,5,7,8
7/3,5,6
8/1,9,10,11
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  #24  
Old 5th March 2021, 11:14 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Yesterday the winner was struck in 15 of the 20 races for a loss of $5. I'm going to have to re-think the method.
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  #25  
Old 10th March 2021, 12:05 AM
entropy entropy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Yesterday the winner was struck in 15 of the 20 races for a loss of $5. I'm going to have to re-think the method.


When you report results are they based on Betfair prices less commission?
Are you flat betting or Dutching the selections?

I ask because your win strike rate seems good and you are close to being profitable.
It could be that you are picking too many horses that are also picked by the herd, perhaps if you review your results you may see where some fancied runners could have been dropped.

You mentioned that you base your picks on horse form and jockey ability.
Perhaps looking at the trainer would help, I believe the trainer is more important than the jockey especially in the weaker class races.
Best wishes.
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