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  #81  
Old 29th June 2016, 05:15 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Anyone who has a database of results already knows the rules proposed are going to lose long term.
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  #82  
Old 29th June 2016, 05:47 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile

Wish I had those clairvoiant powers.
Cheers.
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  #83  
Old 30th June 2016, 05:30 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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History repeats itself. Short odds favs are over bet historically. Going forward short priced favs will be over bet again.

This whole system is flawed as it doesn't take into account anything which

1) gives you value
2) no (positive) backtest results have been posted
3) is a prime candidate for long term losing based on biases in the market.

I can tell you right now based on my own backtest results you are going to lose between 8% and 11% long term.
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  #84  
Old 30th June 2016, 07:03 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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With all fairness to Neil he did only use it on Metropolitan Meetings.

For me Price indicates chance so I will continue to use it on a daily basis.

What others do of course is up to each individual.

Cheers.
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  #85  
Old 2nd July 2016, 07:45 AM
aferw aferw is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
Thanks for the reply Aferw.
I hesitate to put any filters in myself as obviously they have been put through the mill hence the price.



Hi D'dog,
my only filer when put into states is prices.

Quote:
Originally Posted by UselessBettor
Anyone who has a database of results already knows the rules proposed are going to lose long term.


Only been going since 19th'3 U'better so not enough to go on as yet. But the ppost prices I have are going to be different to everyone elses.

Will continue for a bit longer.

2nd'7
caulfield 2 3 longeron
rosehill 1 1 foxplay
morphet 6 4 ma jones
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  #86  
Old 2nd July 2016, 04:26 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
Only been going since 19th'3 U'better so not enough to go on as yet. But the ppost prices I have are going to be different to everyone elses.


Almost every serious systems bettor will have a database whether they put it together themselves or bought it. All of these will have a x (or multiple) prepost prices.

I can tell you long term its a losing set of rules based on my database going back years. Hence I wouldn't bother putting any real money on it. Follow it for fun, or when you want a bet and your at the track.
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  #87  
Old 6th July 2016, 08:14 AM
aferw aferw is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
2nd'7
caulfield 2 3 longeron 1st 4.60-1.70
rosehill 1 1 foxplay 2nd 1.10
morphet 6 4 ma jones

Nice return
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  #88  
Old 6th July 2016, 11:20 AM
Tipsy Tipsy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002

But if I did it would be based around Form/ beaten lengths /weight (55kg + represent 36.5 % of horses but win 50.6 % of races )A massive advantage.



Those stats quoted are nonsense. You need look no further than a form guide.
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  #89  
Old 8th July 2016, 08:35 PM
aferw aferw is offline
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9th
morphet 1 2 showpero
fleming 2 1 euro angel
doomben 2 3 upstart pride
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  #90  
Old 16th July 2016, 08:20 AM
aferw aferw is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
9th
morphet 1 2 showpero 1st 2.60-1.40
fleming 2 1 euro angel 2nd 1.20
doomben 2 3 upstart pride 2nd 1.60

16th
caulfield 7 3 duke of brunswick
e.farm 1 2 guard of honour
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