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  #81  
Old 16th December 2012, 09:32 AM
Mark Mark is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedyBen
If I put 16.50 on a 2/1 shot I expect to win $33. What could be simpler than that? I get my $16.50 back and the bookie pays me $33 of his money. You really are confused.


$16.50 plus $33 in my book equals $49.50.
Here's a hint for you, go to BF put in $16.50 @ $3, in turn tick the liability and payout boxes. The liability is $33, the payout is $49.50, it's all there in black & white.

That's it from me, time to pack.
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  #82  
Old 16th December 2012, 09:32 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Today's selections are:

Hobart
2/2, 9
3/6, 10
5/2, 15, 17

Canberra
4/8, 10, 11, 12
7/1

Hawkesbury
6/10, 12
7/10

Sun Coast
1/6, 10
6/6

Benalla
3/2, 8, 14
6/7, 9, 11
7/10

Bordertown
3/2, 3
6/5, 9, 10
8/10

Pinjarra
2/4, 6, 7
3/3, 9, 11
4/3, 6
6/2, 7, 8, 12
7/11
9/10, 11
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  #83  
Old 16th December 2012, 07:43 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Another bad day. Lost most of yesterday's profit.

There were 43 smiles from 45 selections for a loss of $27.49.

From day one there's been 382 selections for 7 accidents for a strike rate of 98% for a profit of $86.34. So its still going strong.
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  #84  
Old 16th December 2012, 08:45 PM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Another bad day. Lost most of yesterday's profit.

There were 43 smiles from 45 selections for a loss of $27.49.

From day one there's been 382 selections for 7 accidents for a strike rate of 98% for a profit of $86.34. So its still going strong.


Can you provide details for the 2 accidents?

Cheers LG
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  #85  
Old 17th December 2012, 05:25 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Hi, L.G.

The accidents are Benalla 6/7 and Pinjarra 3/3.

If the Form, Cond and Cons columns had not been deleted then they would not have been selections because their price would have been less than $100. But I'm sure there have been instances that removal of these columns have prevented some accidents.
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  #86  
Old 17th December 2012, 07:09 AM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
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Thanks Michaelg.
Looks like very little could be done by way of trimming a $62 long shot. Unless you didn't lay it of course!

ON a positive note, my lg1 trimmer left all 16 legs of the 4 major quaddies in place on Saturday, which means an interesting lay proposition for the selections that got trimmed, I guess. Still can't quite get excited by the lure of the lay, however. Horses for courses, I guess.

Cheers LG
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  #87  
Old 17th December 2012, 11:00 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Good luck with your quaddies, L.G.

Today's selections:

Dubbo
1/1, 3
3/8
4/8

Pt Mac
1/3, 9, 15, 19
2/8, 10, 12
4/1, 13, 14
5/9, 10, 11, 12, 13
6/4, 11
7/13, 14

Bairnsdale
1/10
2/13
3/12
4/1, 10

What I like about this method is the amount of action. There is at least one selection in about half the races. Today I will lay something in 13 of the 22 races.
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  #88  
Old 17th December 2012, 12:19 PM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
What I like about this method is the amount of action. There is at least one selection in about half the races. Today I will lay something in 13 of the 22 races.


Name of the game I reckon.. keep active! (trying not to loose one's wick in the process). Applies to a lot of things, eh what?

LG
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  #89  
Old 17th December 2012, 01:51 PM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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Hi Michaelg,

Have you broken down the losing lays in price brackets over the testing period?

Could you perhaps set a max price ceiling of $50 to keep profits up and prevent a blowout with a $200+ winner?
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  #90  
Old 17th December 2012, 02:18 PM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSchmile
Hi Michaelg,

Have you broken down the losing lays in price brackets over the testing period?

Could you perhaps set a max price ceiling of $50 to keep profits up and prevent a blowout with a $200+ winner?
If laying to a liability as Michael does it's better to leave the really long ones in. They don't cost him any more when they win than a 3.0 pop and they sure lose plenty of times.
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