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  #1  
Old 1st December 2012, 11:54 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink Lay Don Scott's Outsiders

The rules I'm using:

1) $100-plus in D.S. market.
2) Didn't win at last start.
3) Not resuming at this or previous start.
4) Minimum of two career starts.
5) Placed 6th or worse at last start.

Today's selections:

Warwick Farm
3/1
5/9
6/1, 12
8/10

Caulfield
2/7
3/4
7/5

Eagle Farm
2/4
3/11
4/10
6/6, 10
7/10, 18

Morphetville
2/7
5/10
8/11, 13, 14

Hawkesbury
1/1
2/3
4/11
6/5

Gunnedah
1/4
3/9, 10, 11
4/10, 12
5/6, 10
6/1, 9, 11, 12, 13
7/8, 14

Wagga
1/8, 11, 12
3/6, 7, 11
4/4, 11
5/1, 11 13, 15
6/12, 13

Gold Coast
3/4
6/4, 5
7/6, 9, 10
8/5, 7

Toowoomba
1/1, 5
2/7, 8, 9
6/4, 5
7/3, 6

Cranbourne
2/8
5/7

Ascot
2/2, 3, 5, 7
4/3, 9
5/7, 10
7/10/12
8/7, 9.

There's quite a few selections at single prices in the Tele market.
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  #2  
Old 1st December 2012, 08:47 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Posts: 2,790
Wink

Not a bad day - there were 73 smiles from the 74 selections for a profit of $47.58.
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  #3  
Old 2nd December 2012, 10:43 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Today's selections:

Hobart
1/5, 15
2/4, 11, 14, 15
4/6
5/7
7/10, 12

Geraldton
1/7, 8, 10
2/5,15
3/2
4/2, 4, 6
5/2, 6, 9
6/1
7/5

Kembla
2/13
3/16, 17
4/4, 20
5/11
6/4, 6, 8, 16
7/11
8/10

Murray Bridge
1/5
3/1, 11
4/2, 10
5/5, 6
6/1
7/4, 8, 10, 11, 12
8/4, 6, 7, 14

Sun Coast
2/2, 3
4/5, 16
5/2
7/11
8/12

Queanbeyan
1/6
2/6, 7
4/11
5/4, 6, 7, 11, 12, 13 ,14
6/6, 11
7/2, 11

Swan Hill
1/7
4/2, 6, 10, 11
6/4, 7, 9, 12, 14
7/2, 9 14, 15

Wodonga
2/9
3/7
4/2, 3, 6, 7, 8
5/9
6/1, 3, 8
7/1, 12
8/10
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  #4  
Old 2nd December 2012, 11:10 AM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Congrats michaelg. There's a heck of a lot of selections there. I hope it goes well for you.
__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.”

― Earl Nightingale
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  #5  
Old 3rd December 2012, 06:27 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Thanks, T.O.

Yesterday was a bad day, there were two accidents for a loss of about $45. However the method is still $25 in profit.

Over the past four days there's been four accidents. Two of them were horses that ran sixth at their last start, so from today the new filter is that it must have run seventh or worse at last start. And yesterday Swan Hill 6/7 showed in the Tele that it was not resuming from a spell yet it did so in the Unitab ratings, so also from today I'll look at Unitab when determining the "spell" factor.

If I had applied these filters from commencement then the profit would have been close to $80.
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  #6  
Old 3rd December 2012, 11:36 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Todays selections:

Taree
2/2
3/4
4/1, 2, 4, 10
6/5, 11
7/2, 6, 10
8/6, 8, 11

Ararat
1/1, 2
2/2, 5, 7, 9, 12
3/16
4/7, 9, 12
6/8
7/4, 9, 11, 15

I've tightened one of the rules so that the selection must have finished seventh or worse at it's lat start. To compromise, I've relaxed two rules - the selection may have had a minimum of only one career start and the selection may also have resumed from a spell at it's previous start, even though I'll be monitoring them.

Surprisingly quite a few of today's selections are high in Unitab's ratings, Taree 8/6 has 100 Unitab points.

Last edited by michaelg : 3rd December 2012 at 11:39 AM.
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  #7  
Old 3rd December 2012, 06:48 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Not a bad day using the new rules. From the 30 selections there were 30 smiles for a profit of $30.93. The liability is no longer $30 but $33 which is more convenient to type especially when there are many selections.
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  #8  
Old 4th December 2012, 09:44 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Today's selections are:

Sale
2/2
3/5
4/2, 5
5/1, 3, 10
6/7, 9
8/6, 10

Cessnock
1/10, 15
3/5
4/5, 11, 16
5/5
6/2, 12
7/11

Lismore
2/5, 6, 7, 9, 10
3/2, 3, 12, 15, 18
4/7, 8, 10
5/12
6/9
7/13, 14, 15

Townsville
2/5
3/4, 15
6/7
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  #9  
Old 4th December 2012, 04:21 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Correction - Sale 8/10 is not a selection because it ran third at it's last start.
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  #10  
Old 4th December 2012, 04:54 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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I'm glad I realised Sale 8/10 was not a selection - it won.

Today there was 41 selections for 41 smiles for a profit of $39.77
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