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  #31  
Old 29th September 2017, 11:52 AM
Snert Snert is offline
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UB, that's really good info, and you're absolutely correct, my system does select individual horses as opposed to assessing a race. My theory is that if something has stood up for a long period of time, through all the changes, then why wouldn't it continue to do so? The application of this theory is to find runners where the odds on offer are huge compared to the chances of winning. Huge being > 50%.

I strongly believe that racing is cyclical, that for some reason, as there are runs of outs, so are there winning runs. Look at LSW. They've been winning at the rate of 13% since the year dot, favs have been winning a tick over 30% of the time. There are other patterns that repeat too. The business end is to find those that "pay".

Yup, rating a field isn't something I've done nor is it something I've ever looked at. But I will. I love this caper. With my thousands of hours I reckon I can pick a race and put a line though half the field in a minute, so that's a start isn't it? Or is it?

Last edited by Snert : 29th September 2017 at 11:55 AM.
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  #32  
Old 29th September 2017, 01:08 PM
Snert Snert is offline
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Follow a 2 y/o colt for 10 starts AFTER it has won it's only start at a Metropolitan track in Melbourne. Again, don't ring me up and tell me it's fallen in a hole, and please do you own research. This was showing a 44% POT at the end of 2014, from the year 2000. Dunno how it's gone in the last few years though!
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  #33  
Old 29th September 2017, 01:57 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Hi Snert,

Whats your experience with Night Racing?

Cheers.
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  #34  
Old 29th September 2017, 03:59 PM
Snert Snert is offline
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I'm not that sophisticated darkydog2002, night or day I just look at stats for Metropolitan meetings and that's it. I'm no expert, I just like databases and stats.
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  #35  
Old 29th September 2017, 04:19 PM
Mike367 Mike367 is offline
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[QUOTE=UselessBettor]T



Your talking horses not races. Analysing a race is more important then analysing a horse. If you can work this out you are going to do really well.
send me an email and I'll show you how it changed my system betting. My email is betfinder@exemail.com.au . I don't like to post certain things on public forums.


Hi UB,

I'm going to be a little bit cheeky here, a bit forward even, feel free to say no. I've a thick skin and you wont hurt my feelings.

May I also send you an email regarding tips for analysing a race?

I have a system or two on the go and I compare the runners form at the track and distance, if a horse is up in class and distance and so on.

Thanks Mike.

P.S. mine is mjm367@gmail.com

Mike.
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  #36  
Old 29th September 2017, 04:24 PM
Mike367 Mike367 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
Hi Snert,

Whats your experience with Night Racing?

Cheers.


Hey Darky,

At Moonee Valley look for a horse that has won at the track over the distance at night in the wet, if its wet. Work from the bottom up, as in Party's Plums.

I've had some very nice results.

Cheers,

Mike.
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  #37  
Old 29th September 2017, 05:50 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike367

Hi UB,

I'm going to be a little bit cheeky here, a bit forward even, feel free to say no. I've a thick skin and you wont hurt my feelings.

May I also send you an email regarding tips for analysing a race?

I have a system or two on the go and I compare the runners form at the track and distance, if a horse is up in class and distance and so on.

Thanks Mike.

P.S. mine is mjm367@gmail.com

Mike.


Feel free to email me. I'll help out with what I can.
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  #38  
Old 30th September 2017, 11:45 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Thanks Mike367,
Will do.

Cheers
darky
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  #39  
Old 8th October 2017, 10:43 PM
Snert Snert is offline
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I've posted a couple of systems that show a profit. Here's another one.

Maiden, 4 to 6 years old, first up and favourite on Provincial tracks.

Showing a profit from the year 2000.
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  #40  
Old 8th October 2017, 11:41 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Thanks Snert,

Will check it out.

Cheers
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