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  #1  
Old 23rd May 2020, 01:11 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Default Weights and spells

I am developing a weight rating system similar to the old Don Scott ratings but with my own twist, i am considering on ignoring weight changes for horses back from a spell, but i wonder if say a horse had a few runs at a higher weight in its last few runs then resumes at a lower weight, or even the reverse should i use this in my calculations?
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Old 23rd May 2020, 02:17 PM
jose jose is offline
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Reverse for me. Usually means they are down in class.
The DS ratings have trouble with horses first up IMHO, They don't do well with races where some of the fancied runners are FU. No hard evidence of this, just observations.
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Old 23rd May 2020, 02:42 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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I guess my question is should i include a weight rating on horses first up
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Old 30th May 2020, 10:50 AM
demodocus demodocus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
few runs then resumes at a lower weight, or even the reverse should i use this in my calculations?


I have analysed this to death. In general ..... up in weight, up in chance .... down in weight down in chance.

I have some precise figures but they're mine ;-)
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Old 30th May 2020, 01:22 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
I have analysed this to death. In general ..... up in weight, up in chance .... down in weight down in chance.

I have some precise figures but they're mine ;-)


Interesting
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