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  #1  
Old 10th July 2015, 08:34 PM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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Default Communal ratings prices

Hi Josh and Propun team,

Thought I'd open up a separate thread and perhaps we can compare prices from our ratings to find value in the market?!! Where all our ratings meet may well end up the best lay, who's to tell?

Factors to look at; pace, age, weight, track conditions, peak runs?

Here are my prices for the Open class races at Flemington, feel free to join in one and all.

Note: Overs in BOLD // Tatts fixed prices in ()

FLEMINGTON
4 2000 CUP
1 $3.2 3 $4.4 7 $7.1 (1 $7, 3 $10, 7 $6)

7 1600 LR
3 $3 1 $5.2 4 $6 12 $8.4 (3 $4.4, 1 $8.6, 4 $8.5, 12 $4.4)

8 1200 LR
3 $2.8 1 $4.6 7 $5.1 (3 $6.5, 1 $12, 7 $8.5)

9 2600 FINAL
8 $4.1 1 $4.9 4 $5.4 3 $6 (8 $4, 1 $13, 4 $5.8, 3 $5.5)


Have a fine Saturday!!
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  #2  
Old 11th July 2015, 07:38 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Location: Western Australia
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Default

Code:
OPEN $101000 FLEMINGTON Race No 4 No Selection R/Price 1 LORD DURANTE 3.93 3 COMMANDING TIME 5.44 6 VATUVEI 5.70 LISTED $152000 FLEMINGTON Race No 7 No Selection R/Price 3 MR UTOPIA 3.20 1 AMOVATIO 5.91 2 TRIED AND TIRED 6.20 LISTED $151500 FLEMINGTON Race No 8 No Selection R/Price 3 HARD ROMP 3.51 7 LONROCKSTAR 6.17 4 DECIRCLES 6.48 OPEN $121000 FLEMINGTON Race No 9 No Selection R/Price 3 COOLDINI 5.46 1 CRAFTY CRUISER 6.49 6 AVA'S DELIGHT 7.50
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"If they need you , they will soon find out."
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  #3  
Old 11th July 2015, 10:38 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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Default Nice one Shaun!

With rain predicted at Flemington, I'll be proceeding with caution. Here are my Doomben ratings as well.

DOOMBEN
5 1050 OP
1 $2.3 2 $3.3 3 $5.2 (1 $4, 2 $2.7, 3 $3.6)

7 1350 OP
1 $3 5 $4.1 2 $5.2 4 $6.1 (1 $4.8, 5 $12, 2 $4.4, 4 $8)
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  #4  
Old 11th July 2015, 11:55 AM
garyf garyf is offline
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Lightbulb

DOOMBEN.
R5 (2-2.75)(1-3.50(3-3.9)
R7 (2-4.2)(1-5.0)(8-6.0)

FLEM
R9 (8-3.50(3-4.5)(4-5.50).

GAWLER.
R7 (4-3.8)(3-4.4)(9-5.5)
R8 (3-4.00(9-4.40(5-4.6)

GLD-CST.
R1 (3-2.1)(2-5.0)(5-5.5).
R6 (2-3.2)(6-5.0)(4-6.0
R7 (1-1.8)(2-3.0)(3-5.5).

NEWC.
R9 (4-4.4)(5-4.4)(2-6.0).

I have 28 other betting races these,
Are the best chance of me betting in those ones,
Up above.

The 4 nominated races at FLEM you put in

R4 (11-4.4) (7-4.6) (1-6.0).
R7 (12-3.4) (3-3.7) (1-7.0)
R8 (3-5.5) (10-6.0) (4-7.0) (7-7.0)

These are way to hard for me to bet in,
But here they are anyway

R9 I am a chance to bet in it is with the other ones.

Cheers.
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  #5  
Old 11th July 2015, 12:15 PM
garyf garyf is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by garyf
DOOMBEN.
R5 (2-2.75)(1-3.50(3-3.9) (N/A)
R7 (2-4.2)(1-5.0)(8-6.0) (N/A)

FLEM
R9 (8-3.50(3-4.5)(4-5.50). (4-8-3)

GAWLER.
R7 (4-3.8)(3-4.4)(9-5.5) (N/A)
R8 (3-4.00(9-4.40(5-4.6) (N/A)

GLD-CST.
R1 (3-2.1)(2-5.0)(5-5.5).(2-3-5)
R6 (2-3.2)(6-5.0)(4-6.0) (2-3-1)
R7 (1-1.8)(2-3.0)(3-5.5). (1-2-3)

NEWC.
R9 (4-4.4)(5-4.4)(2-6.0). (5-12-4)

I have 28 other betting races these,
Are the best chance of me betting in those ones,
Up above.

The 4 nominated races at FLEM you put in

R4 (11-4.4) (7-4.6) (1-6.0). (7-1-8)
R7 (12-3.4) (3-3.7) (1-7.0) (2-3-12)
R8 (3-5.5) (10-6.0) (4-7.0) (7-7.0) ( 3-10-12)

These are way to hard for me to bet in,
But here they are anyway

R9 I am a chance to bet in it is with the other ones.

Cheers.


Forgot to put the statistical rating in for the,
Possible betting races.
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  #6  
Old 11th July 2015, 01:13 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Location: Western Australia
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Default

In future i will wait for scratchings

Code:
OPEN $101000 FLEMINGTON Race No 4 No Selection R/Price 1 LORD DURANTE 3.26 8 REFULGENT 4.45 6 VATUVEI 5.10 LISTED $152000 FLEMINGTON Race No 7 No Selection R/Price 3 MR UTOPIA 3.20 1 AMOVATIO 5.91 2 TRIED AND TIRED 6.20 LISTED $151500 FLEMINGTON Race No 8 No Selection R/Price 3 HARD ROMP 3.40 7 LONROCKSTAR 5.98 6 NEAREST TO PIN 6.29 OPEN $121000 FLEMINGTON Race No 9 No Selection R/Price 3 COOLDINI 5.19 1 CRAFTY CRUISER 5.85 6 AVA'S DELIGHT 7.00
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"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out."
--moeee
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  #7  
Old 11th July 2015, 03:35 PM
garyf garyf is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by garyf
DOOMBEN.
R5 (2-2.75)(1-3.50(3-3.9)
R7 (2-4.2)(1-5.0)(8-6.0)

FLEM
R9 (8-3.50(3-4.5)(4-5.50).

GAWLER.
R7 (4-3.2)(3-3.7)(9-4.6)changed odds
R8 (3-SCR)(9-3.5)(5-3.7) (1-2-4 $6.0) HOPELESS NOW STAY-OUT OF BOTH.

GLD-CST.
R1 (3-2.1)(2-5.0)(5-5.5).
R6 (2-3.2)(6-5.0)(4-6.0
R7 (1-1.8)(2-3.0)(3-5.5).

NEWC.
R9 (4-4.4)(5-4.4)(2-6.0).

I have 28 other betting races these,
Are the best chance of me betting in those ones,
Up above.

The 4 nominated races at FLEM you put in

R4 (11-4.4) (7-4.6) (1-6.0).
R7 (12-3.4) (3-3.7) (1-7.0)
R8 (3-5.5) (10-6.0) (4-7.0) (7-7.0)

These are way to hard for me to bet in,
But here they are anyway

R9 I am a chance to bet in it is with the other ones.

Cheers.


With the downgrade at Gawler I have not done the,
Form for a H9.

"DO NOT BET ON MINE" at Gawler

Have adjusted prices & selections for Gawler.
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  #8  
Old 11th July 2015, 06:51 PM
garyf garyf is offline
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Red face split enz (my mistake)

HI TS.

Was this thread on the 4 races you,
Nominated at Flemington only.

With sending emails watching races getting results,
I actually only now read what you wanted.

Promise to stay out in the future.

Sorry about that.

Cheers.
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  #9  
Old 11th July 2015, 07:10 PM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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Default

Hi Garyf,

Don't stress one bit.

It was just an idea of mine to take evajb01's communal ratings concept and give it a whirl by comparing ratings prices.

Please feel free to add your input anytime, I'll let you know if I have any sort of issue.

It's all gravy Garyf!
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"I buy when other people are selling.
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  #10  
Old 11th July 2015, 09:38 PM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 2,291
Default RESULTS

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSchmile
FLEMINGTON
4 2000 CUP
1 $3.2 3 $4.4 7 $7.1 (1 $7, 3 $10, 7 $6)
NO WINNER (NW)

7 1600 LR
3 $3 1 $5.2 4 $6 12 $8.4 (3 $4.4, 1 $8.6, 4 $8.5, 12 $4.4)
1 WON $9.5/2.9, 3 $1.8PL (BOB)
Q: $19

8 1200 LR
3 $2.8 1 $4.6 7 $5.1 (3 $6.5, 1 $12, 7 $8.5)
NO WINNER (NW) 7 2nd $3pl, 3 3rd $2.6pl

9 2600 FINAL
8 $4.1 1 $4.9 4 $5.4 3 $6 (8 $4, 1 $13, 4 $5.8, 3 $5.5)
8 WON $3.5/1.60, 4 3rd $1.8 No bet


A few hints on my style of betting:

Bet Mostly in NSW & VIC up to Soft 5 tracks
Min BM90+

1/ I bet all horses that are overs priced up to $7 and if more than 2 selections, the top 2 selections must both be overs. (A twist on one of Garyf's words of wisdom from a mate of his that the top selection must be overs. This ensures the strike rate remains healthy.)

2/ Back the top 2 in Quinellas (must be overs)

3/ Take trifectas with top 3 (when overs) with my top 7 rated horses in combo; 3x3x7, 3x7x3, 7x3x3.

*My preferred distance ranges are 12-1600m and 2000-2400m.

These ratings are a new set I am working on. My actual ratings are kept in a vault deep down in the Schmiley compound, protected by 3 highly trained guards, masters in the art of 'Ecky Thump'.

----------------------------------------

RESULTS

ALL <= $7
+1 OUT 12 IN 13 SR 2/13 RSR 2/4

OVERS (Top two rated selection must be overs)
+1.5 OUT 8 IN 9.5 SR 1/8 RSR 1/3

EXOTICS
Q TOP 2: +16 1/3
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― J. Paul Getty
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