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  #1  
Old 1st December 2012, 11:54 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Posts: 2,790
Wink Lay Don Scott's Outsiders

The rules I'm using:

1) $100-plus in D.S. market.
2) Didn't win at last start.
3) Not resuming at this or previous start.
4) Minimum of two career starts.
5) Placed 6th or worse at last start.

Today's selections:

Warwick Farm
3/1
5/9
6/1, 12
8/10

Caulfield
2/7
3/4
7/5

Eagle Farm
2/4
3/11
4/10
6/6, 10
7/10, 18

Morphetville
2/7
5/10
8/11, 13, 14

Hawkesbury
1/1
2/3
4/11
6/5

Gunnedah
1/4
3/9, 10, 11
4/10, 12
5/6, 10
6/1, 9, 11, 12, 13
7/8, 14

Wagga
1/8, 11, 12
3/6, 7, 11
4/4, 11
5/1, 11 13, 15
6/12, 13

Gold Coast
3/4
6/4, 5
7/6, 9, 10
8/5, 7

Toowoomba
1/1, 5
2/7, 8, 9
6/4, 5
7/3, 6

Cranbourne
2/8
5/7

Ascot
2/2, 3, 5, 7
4/3, 9
5/7, 10
7/10/12
8/7, 9.

There's quite a few selections at single prices in the Tele market.
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  #2  
Old 1st December 2012, 08:47 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Posts: 2,790
Wink

Not a bad day - there were 73 smiles from the 74 selections for a profit of $47.58.
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  #3  
Old 2nd December 2012, 10:43 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Today's selections:

Hobart
1/5, 15
2/4, 11, 14, 15
4/6
5/7
7/10, 12

Geraldton
1/7, 8, 10
2/5,15
3/2
4/2, 4, 6
5/2, 6, 9
6/1
7/5

Kembla
2/13
3/16, 17
4/4, 20
5/11
6/4, 6, 8, 16
7/11
8/10

Murray Bridge
1/5
3/1, 11
4/2, 10
5/5, 6
6/1
7/4, 8, 10, 11, 12
8/4, 6, 7, 14

Sun Coast
2/2, 3
4/5, 16
5/2
7/11
8/12

Queanbeyan
1/6
2/6, 7
4/11
5/4, 6, 7, 11, 12, 13 ,14
6/6, 11
7/2, 11

Swan Hill
1/7
4/2, 6, 10, 11
6/4, 7, 9, 12, 14
7/2, 9 14, 15

Wodonga
2/9
3/7
4/2, 3, 6, 7, 8
5/9
6/1, 3, 8
7/1, 12
8/10
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  #4  
Old 2nd December 2012, 11:10 AM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Congrats michaelg. There's a heck of a lot of selections there. I hope it goes well for you.
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  #5  
Old 3rd December 2012, 06:27 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Thanks, T.O.

Yesterday was a bad day, there were two accidents for a loss of about $45. However the method is still $25 in profit.

Over the past four days there's been four accidents. Two of them were horses that ran sixth at their last start, so from today the new filter is that it must have run seventh or worse at last start. And yesterday Swan Hill 6/7 showed in the Tele that it was not resuming from a spell yet it did so in the Unitab ratings, so also from today I'll look at Unitab when determining the "spell" factor.

If I had applied these filters from commencement then the profit would have been close to $80.
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  #6  
Old 3rd December 2012, 11:36 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Todays selections:

Taree
2/2
3/4
4/1, 2, 4, 10
6/5, 11
7/2, 6, 10
8/6, 8, 11

Ararat
1/1, 2
2/2, 5, 7, 9, 12
3/16
4/7, 9, 12
6/8
7/4, 9, 11, 15

I've tightened one of the rules so that the selection must have finished seventh or worse at it's lat start. To compromise, I've relaxed two rules - the selection may have had a minimum of only one career start and the selection may also have resumed from a spell at it's previous start, even though I'll be monitoring them.

Surprisingly quite a few of today's selections are high in Unitab's ratings, Taree 8/6 has 100 Unitab points.

Last edited by michaelg : 3rd December 2012 at 11:39 AM.
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  #7  
Old 22nd January 2013, 10:54 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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Hi Michaelg,

Top show thus far!! 6 winning days in a row there's bound to be one or two corrections but I sincerely hope the upward trend continues!!!

Just checking I have the rules you are presently using right:

1) $100-plus in D.S. market.
2) Not resuming at this or previous start.
3) Minimum of two career starts.
4) Placed 7th or worse at last start.
5) Minimum 9 starters.
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  #8  
Old 22nd January 2013, 11:23 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Hi, T.S.

A couple of minor changes which I have been using for most of the period.

1) If any horse has 3.5 points or more in the Form column of the Worksheet then it does not qualify,
2) The selection may have only the one career start. If more than one then it must not be resuming now or at previous start.

I have often been laying for more than the standard $33 which I record here just for convenience. From today I have layed the early selections for a standard $333 and expect do so for the later selections.
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  #9  
Old 22nd January 2013, 11:26 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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Thumbs up

Thanks for clarifying Michaelg!!
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  #10  
Old 22nd January 2013, 11:30 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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Smile

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
From today I have layed the early selections for a standard $333 and expect do so for the later selections.

If you'd have started at this level from the beginning of the trial your profit would be approx $2900.

Tasty.
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