Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 22nd June 2016, 10:00 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,051
Lightbulb Be Like the Don

Seeing my old mate LG back on the forum was like a shot of Adrenalin to the heart.

It prompted me to dust off the forum cobwebs and jump back on the horse!!!!

I've had an intense time since I last posted, losing my best mate and gaining my first child, so the peaks and troughs have been extreme.

I hope the old and new crew are finding a way to graft out a profit. I've managed to craft a niche with selective betting, averaging 3-5 bets a week, sticking to NSW, VIC & QLD metro & provincial races only.

For this experiment, I'm going to use an article I read in PPM some time ago about the great Don Scott and see if we can graft out a wee profit on the exotics.

THE RULES
- ELIMINATE ALL RACES WITH FEWER THAN 10 RUNNERS.
- ELIMINATE ALL BAD VALUE CHANCES, INCLUSIVE OF LONG-PRICED AND SHORT-PRICED HORSES
- COMBINE THE THREE OR FOUR BEST VALUE CHANCES IN TRIFECTAS AND EXACTAS.
- ALL RUNNERS MINIMUM 5 STARTS
- 1000 TO 1800M RACES

THE PROCESS
- USE DON SCOTT PRICES FROM R&S AND START FROM FAV DOWN AND COMPARE WITH TATTS OPENERS
- TAKE TOP 4 OVERS IN EXACTAS
- TAKE TOP 5 OVERS IN TRIFECTAS
__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Last edited by TheSchmile : 22nd June 2016 at 10:04 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 22nd June 2016, 10:38 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,051
Default

Wow, bit of a fizzer today, the randomness of the DS selections, meant there were no races where I could find 4+ horses over the odds.

Will wait to pounce in the coming days.

Happy hump day all.
__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 23rd June 2016, 11:47 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,051
Default

Might need to review this theory, here are the DS selections. Hard to find races with 5 horses overs. Will stick to conditions no worse than Soft 5.

New system, let's call it 'THE DUCKS NUTS'
- Take DS overs selections as roving bankers in Trifectas with Tatts tips selections, Top 4 ratings & any horse with a 'C' next to its name.

ROCKY
6 1200 70
DS: 1,5,9,13
Tatts: 2,3,4,7,11,12
Combo: 4x4x10 // 4x10x4 // 10x4x4
Cost: $96 for 33%

7 1300 OP
DS: 4,5,7
Tatts: 1,9,13
Combo: 3x3x6 // 3x6x3 // 6x3x3
Cost: $24 for 33%

8 1400 OP
DS: 2,4
Tatts: 3,6,7,8,9
Combo: 2x2x7 // 2x7x2 // 7x2x2
Cost: $10 for 33%
__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 23rd June 2016, 04:26 PM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,051
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSchmile
ROCKY
6 1200 70
DS: 1,5,9,13
Tatts: 2,3,4,7,11,12
Combo: 4x4x10 // 4x10x4 // 10x4x4
Cost: $96 for 33%

7 1300 OP
DS: 4,5,7
Tatts: 1,9,13
Combo: 3x3x6 // 3x6x3 // 6x3x3
Cost: $24 for 33%
WON: TRI $780/3 = $260

8 1400 OP
DS: 2,4
Tatts: 3,6,7,8,9
Combo: 2x2x7 // 2x7x2 // 7x2x2
Cost: $10 for 33%

RESULT
OUT $130 In $260

Straight out Quinella/Exacta:
Q: OUT $10 IN $47 1/3
EX: OUT $20 IN $107 1/3

Going long didn't pay off today but a profit all the same. Straight out box was the order of the day with a lovely POT.

Hope this is getting the brain cells ticking. Input appreciated, otherwise I will go back to my basement and crank up a little....'all byyyyyyy myself.......don't wanna Beebe.....all byyyyyyy my-self'.....
__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 23rd June 2016, 05:00 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,456
Default

You know i love ratings but recently i see the value in using other peoples ratings but putting your own spin on pricing or bet's in your case, the work load is less but can still produce some very nice winners, i still think it comes down to race selection no matter what ratings you use.
__________________
One Drive

"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out."
--moeee
_______________________________________________
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 25th June 2016, 11:21 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,051
Default

Nice to hear from you Shaun me old muck!!! Very prudent words indeed.

Two venues today:
EAGLE FARM
2-5,7,13
8-2,4,5,11
9-1,2

ROCKY
6-3,6
7-3,2,5
__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 25th June 2016, 06:31 PM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,051
Default No exotics but some nice winners

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSchmile
Nice to hear from you Shaun me old muck!!! Very prudent words indeed.

Two venues today:
EAGLE FARM
2-5,7,13
8-2,4,5,11 - 5 W $15.4
9-1,2 - 2 W $5.4

ROCKY
6-3,6
7-3,2,5- 3 W $3.5


Time to review the way to approach this one.
__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 26th June 2016, 11:20 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,051
Default So long

Due to lack of interest, I'm off back into the wild blue yonder. Best of luck my punting brethren!!
__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 07:27 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655