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  #1  
Old 5th March 2006, 11:23 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Red face Jockeys/Trainers

Wesmip1 in his backfitted system has mentioned jockeys and trainers as a crucial factor. I've been looking at these categories on the neurals, and since last Wednesday the results have been:

Wednesday - 6 selections.
3 winners returning $8.00
6 placegetters returning $9.50

Thursday - 8 selections
5 winners returning $16.60
6 placegetters returning $10.50

Friday - 13 selections
4 winners returning $18.80
9 placegetters returning $17.60

Saturday - 23 selections
10 winners returning $31.60
15 placegetters returning $20.50 (a loss)

There have been 50 selections for 22 winners returning $75.00, and 36 placegetters returning $58.10 which isn't too bad.

The neurals categories I've used are JA and JT at a setting of 2, and TA, CRS, DIST and $ at a setting of 1, all the other categories were set at zero. A selection must have at least a total of 45 points. If there were 2 selections in the same race it was a bettable race, but if there were three selections it was a no-race which is the only filter I've applied. So there were Maidens, 2 year-olds, less than 8 runners, etc. I'm not keen on systems where the total amount of points decides the selections but after 50 races it might be worthwhile looking at. Maybe someone could comment on this, or even shoot it down in flames.

If anyone's interested there are 14 selections today:
Gosford R7 no.6 - Chess Record
Bendigo R8 no.3 - Tubular Bells
Sun Coast R6 no.1 - Bandos
Sun Coast R7 no.2 - Little Punc
Sun Coast R8 no.4 - King Lyphard
Balaklava R3 no.1 - Feel The Moment
Tamworth R1 no.3 - Worondi
Tamworth R4 no.2 - Life's Too Short
Tamworth R5 no.2 - Finial
Tamworth R7 no.1 - Canadoo
Terang R1 no.5 - Our Lotto
Pinjarra R5 no.3 - Mas Merah
Pinjarra R6 no.8 - Laspoia
Pinjarra R7 no.5 - Tapdog.

Last edited by michaelg : 5th March 2006 at 11:26 AM.
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  #2  
Old 6th March 2006, 10:45 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Red face

A poor day yesterday. I've slightly altered the process and we'll see if these perform any better- place bets only.

Muswellbrook R2 no.1 - Sri Khan
Muswellbrook R3 no.1 - Miss Class See
Geraldton R3 no.3 - Twig Gold
Geraldton R4 no.5 - Argent Lane.
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  #3  
Old 7th March 2006, 10:20 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Red face

From yesterday's four selections three of them placed paying a total of $5.10.

Two selections today:
Queanbeyan R7 no.2 - Protective Custody
Pakenham R7 no.1 - Sven.
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  #4  
Old 8th March 2006, 10:31 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Red face

Yesterday's two selections placed, paying a total of $3.30

Seventeen selections today:
Randwick r2 no.2 - Cezanne
Randwick R5 no.6 - Stop The Traffic
Randwick R6 no.1 - Swishes
Sandown R1 no.5 - Majestic Point
Sandown R2 no.1 - Solar Mighty
Sandown R4 no.5 - Palmyra Boy
Taree R2 no.4 - Armazon
Taree R4 no.3 - Sevillano
Taree R5 no.6 - Immunity
Ipswich R7 no.8 - Mister Alpha
Penola R2 no.8 - Fighting Fury
Penola R5 no.5 - Dial Zero
Penola R6 no.2 - Gerainejay
Penola R7 no.3 - Nadema
Ascot R2 no.4 - Johnnie Roucke
Ascot R4 no.6 - Mr Diagnosis
Ascot R5 no.2 - Mc Buster.
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  #5  
Old 9th March 2006, 04:05 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Red face

I've had more problems with the neural website. Finally I've been able to get into it.

Yesterday there were 9 placegetters from the 17 selections paying a total of $15.40.

Ten selections today, some have already been run.
Kembla R6 no.2
Kembla R7 no.2
Werribee R6 no.7
Rocky R1 no.7
Rocky R5 no.3
Rocky R8 no.3
Pt Lincoln R5 no.3
Pt Lincoln R8 no.1
Pinjarra R5 no.2
Pinjarra R8 no.2
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  #6  
Old 10th March 2006, 07:33 AM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
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Question

Not bad, Michaelg. 7/9 (one scratched) for the place. Now where is that all-up plan for the place??? Must have it here somewhere.
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  #7  
Old 10th March 2006, 10:20 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Red face

Hi, Merriguy. Yes, not a bad day but a staking plan? - I would wait a lot longer to see how the system goes. There have now been 32 selections since Monday for 21 placegetters for a POT of 12%.

Eight selections today - some of them do not seem to have good form, but the system has chosen them not on form but because the neurals say they have good jockeys and trainers. We'll see what happens.
Goulburn R4 no. 10 - Zatt's Gold
Goulburn R6 no.5 - Marpesia
Goulburn R7 no.3 - Sachrasee
Dombeen R2 no.4 - Fyodor
Dombeen R3 no.1 - Duhaaba
Dombeen R7 no.1 - Royal Opera
Echuca R4 no.4 - Virvacity
Echuca R8 no.4 - Paint Box.
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  #8  
Old 11th March 2006, 11:32 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Red face

From yesterday's eight selections there were only three placegetters paying a total of $9.50.

Today there are eighteen selections:
Eagle Farm R1 no.5
Eagle Farm R3 no.8
Morphetville R7 no.3
Newcastle R5 no.11
Newcastle R6 no.3
Pakenham R3 no.1
Gold Coast R3 no.6
Gold Coast R7 no.3
Gold Coast R8 no.7
Edenhope R5 no.3
Edenhope R8 no.7
Ascot R1 no.5
Ascot R4 no.10
Ascot R5 no.1
Ascot R6 no.1
Ascot R7 no.6
Toowoomba R1 no.3
Toowoomba R3 no.5

I've included the CF algorythm, and checking the results over the past three days would have shown a profit over the three days, and with a good strike rate. I'll list the selections and see if they perform. There are also eighteen selections:
Morphetville R5 no.3
Morphetville R7 no.3
Morphetville R8 no.2
Newcastle R1 no.3
Newcastle R8 no.2
Gold Coast R2 no.8
Gold Coast R4 no.9
Edenhope R5 no.2
Edenhope R6 no.1
Edenhope R8 no.3
Pakenham R3 no.6
Pakenham R6 no.2
Ascot R1 no.5
Ascot R2 no.1
Ascot R4 no.10
Ascot R5 no.1
Ascot R6 no.1
Ascot R7 no.6
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  #9  
Old 12th March 2006, 10:39 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Red face

I'll stick with the CF inclusion and see how it goes. From the 18 selections yesterday there were 10 placegetters for $17.40 - a loss of only $0.60.

22 selections today.
Armidale R2 no.7
Armidale R4 no.3
Stony Creek R5 no.1
Echuca R4 no.9
Echuca R6 no.4
Echuca R9 no.7
Corowa R2 no.3
Corowa R3 no.2
Corowa R7 no.4
Clare R2 no.8
Clare R6 no.1
launceston R1 no.10
Launceston R2 no.5
Launceston R3 no.6
launceston R5 no.3
Launceston R7 no.2
Launceston R8 no.1
Mt Barker R3 no.6
Mt Barker R4 no.3
Mt Barker R6 no.8
Mt Barker R7 no.1
Mt Barker R8 no9
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  #10  
Old 13th March 2006, 10:30 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Red face

After 2 scratchings there were 20 selections yesterday. 14 placed paying $25.20.

Twelve selections today:
Canterbury R5 no.5
Canterbury R6 no.5
Canterbury R7 no.7
Morphetville R4 no.7
Morphetville R7 no.1
Moonee Valley R6 no.11
Moonee Valley R8 no.1
Moe R2 no.4
Moe R7 no.1
Hanging Rock R8 no.2
Ipswich R7 no.5
Dubbo R5 no.1
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