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  #1  
Old 23rd March 2016, 12:08 PM
Neil Neil is offline
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Smile Betting system stood the test of time ...

I was intending to provide updated selections and results each week for Melbourne, Brisbane and Sydney Saturday racing for what I believe is an excellent betting system.

As I am currently able to provide the selections only on an irregular basis I passed.

Maybe someone would like to provide the selections and results each week?

In my opinion horses with high winning strike rates can be excellent bets provided short odds are avoided. They will quite often win at nice double figure odds. They can also add value to trifectas etc.

Here are the basic rules.

1. The horse must have a minimum 50% winning strike rate.

2. It must have had at least 10 race starts.

3. Avoid short odds. A minimum price of $5.00 is a good starting point. Judgement needs to be used if taking odds of $4.00.

That's it! There are plenty of other factors which can be looked at such as first up, time between races, how the horse fared at its previous start etc. etc.

Hope you find this system worthwhile.

Neil.
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  #2  
Old 23rd March 2016, 04:27 PM
Thenewguy Thenewguy is online now
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Pretty similar to some of my systems. I dont restrict it to metro. Without a price minimum returns avge price around 5.5. I run one similar for higher odds that avges around 15. Both return profit at level staking but i use my personal recovery plan to great effect and probably triple the return.
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  #3  
Old 25th March 2016, 04:28 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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which is the best site to check Win% and career starts, without having to click on every horse as many of them are?
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  #4  
Old 25th March 2016, 11:30 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
which is the best site to check Win% and career starts, without having to click on every horse as many of them are?

https://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
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  #5  
Old 26th March 2016, 01:34 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Ocho, cheers for that , I knew I'd seen it other than Chartform, but just could't remember where.

I can see 4 qualifiers today (Metro only) MR7-4 Red Bomber, SR 4-2 Malaguerra, SR4-3 Alberto Magic, SR7-6 Mongolian Khan. with only Red Bomber meeting the price criteria at this stage @$11. there's 2 in the $4 range at the mo. but that might change of course.
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  #6  
Old 26th March 2016, 11:39 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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I'm not endorsing, I have no idea, I was just showing some interest, but one Swallow does not make "Spring" we have at least 996 selections to go before we can make a judgement.
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  #7  
Old 27th March 2016, 11:58 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Reduce the price to say 3 and under 10 days from last start, see how you go.
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  #8  
Old 15th April 2016, 05:53 PM
Neil Neil is offline
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Here are Saturday's selections:

Caulfield
4/1 Red Bomber

Randwick
6/8 Artlee
6/12 My Favourite
7/4 Malaguerra
7/5 Goldstream
7/6 Press Statement
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  #9  
Old 29th April 2016, 07:23 PM
Neil Neil is offline
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Selections for Saturday, 30th. April:

Doomben
2/9 Secret Saga
5/1 Astronomos
6/1 Fell Swoop
6/3 Artlee
8/7 Trubia
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  #10  
Old 1st May 2016, 05:21 AM
Vortech
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[QUOTE=Neil]Selections for Saturday, 30th. April:

Doomben
2/9 Secret Saga - 3rd
5/1 Astronomos - 2nd
6/1 Fell Swoop - 1st
6/3 Artlee - 3rd
8/7 Trubia - 3rd

All horses all there in the money and a good All up for the place
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