Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #11  
Old 15th June 2017, 07:36 PM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 3,200
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
Long term WSR =19.7%, mostly favourites. :-)


How's about if we swap the 2 and 3 with a 4 or 5 Demodocus?

LG
__________________
Many punters on here can make money just looking at the prices of the horses without having a clue on the form analysis - Vortech
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 16th June 2017, 06:53 AM
demodocus demodocus is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 189
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
How's about if we swap the 2 and 3 with a 4 or 5 Demodocus?LG

Wandering into the realms of fantasy.

Here's a quick go using a sample of 288,224 as follows:-

Today's Going = Good
Distance <=1650m.
DSLS <=30
Field 8 - 14
Prev. Races >=4

Taking the SUM of the Last 2 Places to generate a WSR

2 ....... 20.35%
3 ....... 17.40%
4 ....... 16.17
5 ....... 15.28
6 ....... 14.02
7 ....... 13.29
8 ....... 12.40
9 ....... 11.44
10 ..... 10.46

Hence 2PLACE is a fair indicator, but the "flat" spot could be costly.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 16th June 2017, 07:21 AM
demodocus demodocus is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 189
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
Hence 2PLACE is a fair indicator, but the "flat" spot could be costly.

So, using exactly the same data and conditions I had a look at SUM of last 2 starts Beaten Dist rather than Place.

<=1 ..... 18.63%
2 .......... 16.23
3 .......... 15.31
4 .......... 14.04
5 .......... 13.29
6 .......... 12.92
7 .......... 11.76
8 .......... 10.79
9 .......... 10.11

Time to take Mr Jack to the beach. Have a good day.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 16th June 2017, 12:40 PM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 1,199
Talking

Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
Long term WSR =19.7%, mostly favourites. :-)

A good lay system then. I'll get my bot to test it on that basis.
__________________
Dear Lord
Please let me break even. I need the money.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 19th June 2017, 07:47 PM
El Gordo El Gordo is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 157
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
Long term WSR =19.7%, mostly favourites. :-)

Why not make it part of an all up or multi. With a bit luck you'll have more reasons to smile.
__________________
Out in front - you make your own luck!
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 26th June 2017, 03:39 PM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 1,199
Talking Just the facts, Maam

've been testing this for about a week on all Oz races, including harness, and it has had 13 wins from 56 runners for a LS profit of about 20 units if you stick to those under 12.00.
Above 12.0 there have been 36 straight losses.
All divs are BF, of course.
__________________
Dear Lord
Please let me break even. I need the money.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 16th July 2017, 12:18 AM
Sands Sands is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 21,086
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
Long term WSR =19.7%, mostly favourites


Quote:
Originally Posted by El Gordo
Why not make it part of an all up or multi. With a bit luck you'll have more reasons to smile.

Good value can be got coupling up horse racing favourites (you may like) into sports events like golf, where those in the market can start at double figures odds.

Last edited by Sands : 16th July 2017 at 12:24 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 2nd October 2017, 04:23 AM
kiwiz kiwiz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Auckland
Posts: 21,094
Wink

Happy Clapper,,winner Randwick,,looks like he qualified
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 2nd October 2017, 04:53 AM
kiwiz kiwiz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Auckland
Posts: 21,094
Wink

Booker,,winner Caulfield,,looks like she qualified
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 3rd March 2018, 09:50 AM
goldeee goldeee is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Golden Grove
Posts: 152
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Neil
1. The horse is third up from a spell of at least 2 months.

2. Its first 2 runs are 12, 21, 22, 13, 31, 23 or 32.

Use a similar system with success, but look at last 4 runs before the spell for like pattern "12, 21, 22, 13, 31, 23 or 32" etc
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 08:33 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655