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  #21  
Old 13th June 2018, 09:28 AM
sportzRus sportzRus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
Back any fav 1st or 2nd up

would also give consideration fav 3rd up
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  #22  
Old 13th June 2018, 12:27 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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8 or less runners.

Fav @the jump.
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  #23  
Old 13th June 2018, 05:55 PM
Vortech Vortech is offline
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What you sometimes find is although the favourites get up in smaller fields more regularly, the average dividend is a lot less making the overall profit is the same.
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  #24  
Old 13th June 2018, 06:45 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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I am now looking at laying favs for the place if under 1.40
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  #25  
Old 13th June 2018, 07:19 PM
thorns thorns is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
I am now looking at laying favs for the place if under 1.40

Good luck, its ************ hard work trying to get them to show a profit, I cant get the penny to drop here. I can break even but just cant get them onto the good side. Like everything, you have a nice run of lay wins, then a string of 20 odd get up and burst your bubble taking any profit along with it.


Definitely not impossible, and i'll be envious if you can crack the code!
Have spent far to many hours trying myself.
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  #26  
Old 14th June 2018, 10:00 AM
Mark Mark is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thorns
Good luck, its ************ hard work trying to get them to show a profit, I cant get the penny to drop here. I can break even but just cant get them onto the good side. Like everything, you have a nice run of lay wins, then a string of 20 odd get up and burst your bubble taking any profit along with it.


Definitely not impossible, and i'll be envious if you can crack the code!
Have spent far to many hours trying myself.


Surely not thorns. You already have the code.
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  #27  
Old 14th June 2018, 11:26 AM
thorns thorns is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mark
Surely not thorns. You already have the code.


Yes good point, I guess I should have said, standing individually to turn a profit is hard work.
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  #28  
Old 14th June 2018, 12:04 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thorns
Good luck, its ************ hard work trying to get them to show a profit, I cant get the penny to drop here. I can break even but just cant get them onto the good side. Like everything, you have a nice run of lay wins, then a string of 20 odd get up and burst your bubble taking any profit along with it.


Definitely not impossible, and i'll be envious if you can crack the code!
Have spent far to many hours trying myself.


If i could get my hands on some reliable betfair data i could better back test it, using Tab prices isn't the same even in the place market.
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  #29  
Old 15th June 2018, 12:05 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
If i could get my hands on some reliable betfair data i could better back test it, using Tab prices isn't the same even in the place market.

Reliable is the key word here Shaun. For some reason betfair data contains prices for horses that were scratched, and not just late scratchings way too often.
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  #30  
Old 16th June 2018, 05:34 AM
demodocus demodocus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
If i could get my hands on some reliable betfair data i could better back test it, using Tab prices isn't the same even in the place market.

There is a problem with using Betfair prices. The SP doesn't usually match the price that the horse was actually bet at ..... it's simply the 'last price matched'. If you look under the LHS tab on Betfair you can see the span of matching.
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