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  #21  
Old 10th April 2018, 07:03 PM
Vortech
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Tab Prices
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  #22  
Old 10th April 2018, 08:49 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vortech
Just out of interest I had a look at all horses over $100 in 2016

There were 5,599 horses (runners) with only 16 winners 0.28% strike rate.


To give you a comparison point for betfair prices. Same year I had 17886 horses priced at 100+ for Australia. Of those 94 winners with a 0.53% strike rate. Had you layed all of them using a set liability you would have lost 3 units. So if you lay stake was $100 you would have lost $300.
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  #23  
Old 27th April 2018, 11:25 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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A selection in 15 mins at Dubbo to lay:

R1: Swooping Magpie
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  #24  
Old 27th April 2018, 12:13 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UselessBettor
A selection in 15 mins at Dubbo to lay:

R1: Swooping Magpie


Successful at $150. Thats a return of 0.66% already. If we only aim for 1% a week Im well on my way already.
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  #25  
Old 28th April 2018, 09:49 AM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UselessBettor

The catch is you need to go all year without a loss


I assume that the selection logic is relatively simple for this one UB? Note that I am not asking for the criteria here, just an indication of whether this is another example of applying the KISS approach!

Cheers LG
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Many punters on here can make money just looking at the prices of the horses without having a clue on the form analysis - Vortech
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  #26  
Old 28th April 2018, 10:03 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
I assume that the selection logic is relatively simple for this one UB? Note that I am not asking for the criteria here, just an indication of whether this is another example of applying the KISS approach!

Cheers LG


These selecitons are based on handicapping the races. No system rules. Just look at the race and work out if there is an almost certain way to make a profit.
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  #27  
Old 28th April 2018, 02:36 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Mackay R6: CASINO BENJO lay.
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  #28  
Old 28th April 2018, 03:04 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UselessBettor
Mackay R6: CASINO BENJO lay.


Successful at $60.

That is a 1.66% profit.
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  #29  
Old 4th August 2018, 10:00 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Thought I would throw up a few so people could get off to a winning start:

Lay these using a set liability. (ie to lose $100):

Wangarratta R1 : Rubys Jewel
Wangarratta R2 : Thereyougobeau
Wangarratta R3 : Bella Shadow
Wangarratta R5 : Godfrey

I might post more but depends on my available time.
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  #30  
Old 4th August 2018, 12:48 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UselessBettor
Thought I would throw up a few so people could get off to a winning start:

Lay these using a set liability. (ie to lose $100):

Wangarratta R1 : Rubys Jewel
Wangarratta R2 : Thereyougobeau
Wangarratta R3 : Bella Shadow
Wangarratta R5 : Godfrey

I might post more but depends on my available time.


All a success for 3.03% return. On a bet of $10K you did well enough from these to wait for another day to profit again.
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