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  #11  
Old 22nd February 2021, 06:09 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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A good day. Win betting provided a profit of $30, and Place betting a profit of $16.
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  #12  
Old 23rd February 2021, 10:12 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Today's selections:

Bendigo
5/1,2,3,4,6,8
6/1,2,4,5,6,9,12,14
7/1,3,4,6,7,9,10
8/1,2,3,4,5,6,7

Cairns
3/1,2,3,4
4/1,2,3
7/1,2,4,7,10

Tamworth
4/2,4,6,8,9
5/1,3,4,5,6,8,9,10,11,16
6/1,2,3,4,5,8,10,12
7/2,3,4,7,8,12
8/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10
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  #13  
Old 23rd February 2021, 07:12 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Even though the method snared almost all today's winners they were all high in the betting. Tomorrow I think I'll bet only half the field to win.
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  #14  
Old 24th February 2021, 10:41 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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I am betting half the field in each race to win. Today's selections:

Launceston
1/1,4,6,8,10,16,17
2/1,3,7,8,11,15
3/1,4,6,7,10
4/1,2,4,5
5/1,2,3,4
6/1,4,5,6
7/1,2,5,8
8/1,3,4,5,8,10
9/1,2,3,7
10/1,2,4,6,7,8,10

Penola
1/1,2
2/3,4,6
3/3,4,5,8,10
4/2,3,4,10,11,12
5/1,2,3,5,6
6/3,4,5,7,9,11
7/1,3,4,5,6
8/1,2,3,4,6,9,12

Gosford
1/4,11,12,15
2/1,2,4,7
3/6,7,8
4/1,2,4,7
5/2,3,6,7
6/1,4,5,9,10
7/1,2,4,5,8

Ipswich
1/1,2,5,9,10
2/1,3,4,7,9
3/1,2,5,8,10,13
4/1,4,5,6,12
5/1,2,3,8
6/1,3,4,8
7/5,6,8,9
8/1,3,4,13

Sandown
1/1,2,3,4,6
2/1,4,7,8
3/2,3,4,7
4/1,3,5,8,10
5/1,2,6,8
6/4,5,9,10
7/2,3,4,7,8
8/5,7,8,11,13

Ascot
1/1,2,4,8,9
2/1,6,8
3/2,3,4,5,9
4/1,2,3,4,6
5/1,2,3,4,5,9
6/2,4,6,7,8,9
7/1,2,3,4,6,9
8/1,2,4,5,6,8,10,15
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  #15  
Old 24th February 2021, 10:47 AM
entropy entropy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Even though the method snared almost all today's winners they were all high in the betting. Tomorrow I think I'll bet only half the field to win.


Hi michaelg!

Hope I'm not too nosey but how are you deciding on your selections?

Are you using the usual formlines, if so it may be tough to establish an edge, to get a consistent edge I think we need to find some features that are missed or underbet by most punters.

Of the five elements that come to mind: The horse, the trainer, the jockey, the competition and the market I think we need to find in at least one or more of them some anomaly that has not been fully accounted for.

Do we know something about the horse that may have been overlooked?
Do we know something about the trainer that may have been overlooked?
Do we know something about the jockey that may have been overlooked?
Do we know something about the competition that may have been overlooked?
Do we know something about the market that may have been overlooked?

Discussion welcome.

Best wishes!
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  #16  
Old 24th February 2021, 12:19 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Hi, Entropy. I focus on the importance of the horse's record/success (which can be a matter of opinion) and also the jockey. I expect luck and circumstances to often change during a race so I expect the better jockeys to hopefully have more chance of overcoming these factors. Yesterday applying this method it would have snared every winner, the day before only 1 loser and on Monday no losers. So I am somewhat confident today, but in racing/sport one can never be sure.
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  #17  
Old 25th February 2021, 10:25 AM
entropy entropy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Hi, Entropy. I focus on the importance of the horse's record/success (which can be a matter of opinion) and also the jockey. I expect luck and circumstances to often change during a race so I expect the better jockeys to hopefully have more chance of overcoming these factors. Yesterday applying this method it would have snared every winner, the day before only 1 loser and on Monday no losers. So I am somewhat confident today, but in racing/sport one can never be sure.


Thanks mg, What you write makes good sense and if you are getting such an excellent flow of winners that is great. You write that you may back half the field, is that always so or do you vary the proportion of the field to back?
Also, are you selective in the particular races you get involved in?
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  #18  
Old 25th February 2021, 05:25 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Hi, Entropy. Unfortunately my disability is again causing me problems, and betting at the moment or even focusing on it is difficult. I hope things change quickly for the better.
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  #19  
Old 1st March 2021, 01:51 PM
entropy entropy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Hi, Entropy. Unfortunately my disability is again causing me problems, and betting at the moment or even focusing on it is difficult. I hope things change quickly for the better.


Sorry to hear this, mg, best wishes with your condition, hope things pick up for you!
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  #20  
Old 2nd March 2021, 10:48 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Hi, Entropy - thanks for your well wishes. You maybe have a good connection with the good Lord because I'm now back into the land of the living - I know how Lazarus must have felt when he came back to life.

Today's selections:

Kembla
1/1,2,3,5,9
3/1,2,3,5,9

Bendigo
1/1,2,3,7,10
2/4,5,6,8
3/2,3,4,10,12
4/1,6,8,9
6/1,2,5,8
7/1,4,5,8,10

Emerald
1/1,4,6,7,8
2/1,3,5,6
4/1,3,4,5,8

Grafton
1/1,3,4,8
2/1,5,6,710
3/2,4,8,13
4/2,3,4,8
6/1,2,3,5
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