Statistical Certainty Bets
 

Following on from sports thread how about we post bets what we think are certainties. Post the event, winner and odds. If people decide to back them so be it :).

I'll Post the first one i think is a cert :).

Nth Melbourne vs Port Adeliade

Nth Melbourne to win @ $1.65

Nth has won 5 from the last 7 meetings and port hasn't beaten nth away from football park in the last 5 years. Port has only won 1 from 7 away from home this year.

Melbourne Vs St Kilda

Melbourne to win @ $3.00

This is a tough won on recent form but on stats Melbourne should win. The last 4 meetings between these 2 teams at the MCG Melbourne has won all 4 by an average margin of 48points.

The Kangaroos were actually the ones I was thinking of. They have won 10 of the 12 matches between the two teams. Port have won 2 of the past 3, but they were both at Football Park. If Port lose, they're just about out of the running for the 8 so they'll be damn determined, but the Roos are looking for a top 4 spot too.

The only problem with the Kangaroos is they're not a team I feel really comfortable backing as favourites. They tend to be an under-rated team that wins a lot as underdogs. Not sure they're a great team to bet on as favs.

BULLDOGS vs Rabbitohs

The Rabbitohs have won 1 out of the last 14 games between these two - they beat them 6 years ago 16-14 but before that was 12 years ago in 1993. The Bulldogs have also racked up 128 pts in their last 3 encounters at Aussie Stadium.
Despite the shock draw last time, the bulldogs look to be the much better side, and with mason back in the side they should win.

Yes, but what about the price? The Bulldogs will be about $1.10, won't they?

Driving home I think I heard $1.12, Sportz. Souths $5.50.

would it be a "statistical certainty"


ha ha

The Bulldogs will have to score a lot more trys from now on as El Masri is out for the season and i think only Anasta and Sherwin have only ever kicked 1 goal each, so with the bulldogs probably going in as fav's in nearly all their remainng games i would think about taking the start on the other teams.