EPL Rounds 29 and 18
 

The EPL only scheduled four matches this weekend, three from what was originally to be round 29 and one from what was originally to be round 18.
Most of the EPL is playing FA Cup matches this weekend and are not available for scheduling. Arsenal also has a cup match so their EPL fixture is congested.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

EPL Round 30
 

For Round 30, there are congested fixtures for Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea, Man City and Man U due to cup matches.

The EPL teams have done remarkable well in their cup matches this season. Liverpool, Man City and Chelsea have reached the quarterfinals of the Champions League. Arsenal and Man U are in the quarterfinals of the Europa League. Man City, Chelsea, Southampton and Leicester are in the semifinals of the FA Cup. Man City will play Tottenham in the League Cup Final.

Good luck.

Ray Stefani

EPL Round 31
 

Round 30 was a very successful week. My favourites won 7 of the 8 matches that weren’t drawn. Value bets were cashed by those that bet on Aston Villa and West Ham.

My one loss by a favourite was in a congested fixture when Chelsea lost 2-5 to West Brom that had decimal odds of 15.

I am posting my predictions for what was originally to be Round 31. Be aware that there are congested fixtures for Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal and Man U.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

EPL Round 32
 

Round 31 went well. Those that placed value bets on Newcastle and Wolves cashed. There was a 38% profit on turnover for Round 31, bringing the season’s profit on turnover (while avoiding congested fixtures) to 73%.
The reason there are 7 matches shown for Round 32 is that the other three matches would conflict with FA Cup weekend semifinal matches for four EPL teams.

The Round 32 matches go through Tuesday. There are congested fixtures for Arsenal, Liverpool, Man U and Chelsea. That leaves un-congested fixtures for Everton-Tottenham, Newcastle- West Ham and Wolves-Sheffield.

Good luck and good health,

Ray Stefani

EPL Round 33
 

After these eight games from what originally was to be Round 33, the EPL will be caught up to the original schedule except for two postponed matches that have to be made up.

Of these eight matches, the only un-congested fixtures are for Liverpool-Newastle, Sheffield-Brighton and Wolves-Burnley.

Good luck and good health,

Ray Stefani

EPL Round 34
 

The EPL schedule has now caught up as of what was originally to be Round 34, except for two matches that were postponed from earlier rounds.

For Round 34, there are congested matches for Chelsea, Man City, Man U, Arsenal and Tottenham.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

EPL Round 35
 

There will be Champions and Europa League matches at midweek before Round 35 and several midweek matches after the round. The only matches without congested fixtures are Fulham-Burnley, Leeds-Tottenham and Wolves-Brighton.

Be well,

Ray Stefani

EPL Rounds 19,32,34 and 36
 

The 5 congested fixtures at midweek will be followed by 8 weekend matches. If the games are actually played, then all teams will have completed was was originally to be the first 36 rounds. There will then be two rounds left (maybe).

The round just ended was typical when there are 7 congested fixtures. If you bet equally on all congested fixture underdogs, you would have made a 110% profit on turnover.

Be well,

Ray Stefani

EPL Round 36 (8 games)
 

Here are my predictions for the remaining matches of what originally was to be round 36. This is actually the 40th round played. All the remaining 28 matches have congested fixtures.

Man U was victimized by having to play 2 matches in 3 days, losing both. As per usual, an equal bet on all 5 underdogs in the congested fixtures would have earned a 58% profit, bringing the season profit to 21%, betting on all 241 underdogs in congested fixtures.

Home advantage? In 352 matches, the home teams have won 130, drawn 81 and lost 141, the legacy of lacking home fans.

Good luck!

Ray Stefani

Value Bet Results So Far
 

I should have brought you up to date on value bets. There have been 352 matches so far. After the first 28 matches where we were waiting to see if ratings settled out, there have been 83 matches without congested fixtures. If you followed my betting rules, you would have made 33 value bets, of which 18 would have cashed for a profit on turnover of 61%.

Among the 241 congested fixtures were what would have seemed to be 78 value bets. Of those, only 21 would have cashed for a loss on turnover of 23%.

The team managers have to be careful not to exhaust players during congested fixtures so the teams are not necessarily at the same strength as when the ratings were calculated.

Stay well,

Ray Stefani