Hello Raven again...

I concur with the 55% mark as an estimate for odds on Favs, based on UB's tester using current update of 73,241 lines.. It returned a SR of 57%

It also gave a SR = 35% for all favs in the sample(vrs 30% often quoted) which is handyu to know but hardly about long run probability eh?

Regards the somewhat daunting prospect of an odds on fav getting up more often than 1 in 2 races (and often giving us v poor value), it fazes me not as I am more interested in the 45% of odds on favorites which fall over = even worse value!

If we can identify these on a regular basis and dutch those just behind them in the betting - instead of nasty odds-on unders(pants) we get to Clover all overs?

Obviously been in the office too long 'ere... think its time to get back to the castle and get thee some dinner with Lady G!

LG