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Old 26th September 2004, 11:49 AM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 759
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First of all, got no doubt your post will be deleted.

2nd of all, your record of 18-5 doesn't impress me one bit. It could be due to shorterm luck. What is the average price? Anyone could hit 78% by just betting at an average price of -355.

Even if you average price is even money, your 18-5 record is hardly impressive. That's just a 1 in 100 rare event. You need 1 in 1000 (20-3) to have a decent amount of confidence that you are profitable. To be sure you are profitable, you need a 1 in 10000 event (21-2). Again, these records are at even money.

3rd, your website has scamdicapper written all over it. Your system can win on any sport and in the casino as well? Rubbish.

25% per week? Again, rubbish. There is great variance in sports and casino games, and there is no way you will hit a constant 25% going forward. On top of that, to make 25% per week you'd either have to be dealing with a massive edge, or turnover your money an unbelievable number of times each week, still with an advantage. I doubt your system does either.

If this system is so profitable, why sell it? Why not just sit back and watch the money roll in?

Also, you sell your picks one at a time. That doesn't seem to respect that profiting from sports is a longterm investment. It's no uncommon to have a month or more where you have lost money. In fact, most pro's will even have a losing year at some stage in their career.

You say your system is guaranteed to make money? Total ****. In sportsbetting and any other sort of invesment we are dealing with probabilities. NOTHING is EVER 100%, which means nothing can be guaranteed. Not even a fixed game.

You do actually claim sports is a longterm investment, depsite:
1. guaranteeing losses.
2. Claiming 25% growth per week.
3. Selling picks one at a time.

Quote-
"We have no idea why so many fail to understand these concepts. Remember,
Success is measured and accomplished by achieving 55% or better,
managing your bankroll intelligently, and maintaining a long-term
perspective. Are you the type that measures success on a daily basis?
Do you lack patience and/or discipline? If you answered yes to either
of these questions, gambling on sports is simply not for you."

Wow, that actually a good statement. I disagree about the 55%. You can be extremely successful off sports from just applying smaller advantages (say 53-54%) but having massive turnover. I know a number of people who use this approach and they are very successful.

But you have no idea why so many people fail? Because most don't aim to gain an advantage at sports, and most of those who do aren't very professional in their approach.

"This is due to a few
things, but mainly due to mismanagement of money."

Wrong. Most people fail at sports due to not betting with an advantage. To succeed in sports you need:
1. An edge.
2. Money management.
You could throw in dicipline, but I could that as part of money management.

It is possible to win longterm without knowing anything about moneymangement, although it is unlikely. It is basically impossible to win longterm without an edge, no matter how you manage your money.

You claim bookies no longer accept your bets? I highly doubt that. There are plenty of bookies around that accept action, no matter whether you are a profitable bettor not. You might want to check out pinnaclesports.com. They have NEVER booted a winner.

"My guarantee is simply this. If you don't make 3
times the amount you paid for my weekly picks and system, I will
send you 10x money back through paypal"

Ouch. Guaranteeing 300% or a massive money back? Big red flag for a scamdicapper. Alarm bells for sure.

"If you are looking for 80% winners,
you are a sucker. No one is hitting 80% winners or even 70% winners"

Ok, then why claim you are hitting 78%? Why not just state your record and say you expect to hit a longterm 55%?

"Ask any professional gambler if he would take 55% winners
and the answer would be an enthusiastic YES."

Hell yeh. Guaranteed 55% winners and you'll be rich within a few years (you'd bet full kelly).

"With my 67% winning ratio, you will make money. The best part about
this system is that all you need to hit is 50% and you will make money!"

67%, are those the picks that have now gone 18-5? Man, your sample is too small to draw any conclusions to whether you are likely to be profitable or not.

"they are the best games on the board and will hit more
than 60% of the time."

Ok, you say 14-18 plays a week and claim they are all 60%+ bets? Get the F out of here. You will NOT find that many 60% bets in a week betting on just a couple of US sports.

"*If you combine my picks with my
system, you will be guaranteed to make AT LEAST $500 dollars every
week from a $2000 bankroll. That's at least 25% every week!"

Yeh, sure. Even if you do understand that 55% is very profitable, the fact that you are guaranteeing results makes you a ******** artist.

That's enough from me.


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