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  #5331  
Old 29th September 2019, 10:58 AM
sportzcaster sportzcaster is offline
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world cup pool-d

australia +3.5 $1.91 v wales
australia v wales $1.85
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  #5332  
Old 1st October 2019, 11:41 AM
Sands Sands is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sands
Latest market World Cup Winner

New Zealand $2.50
South Africa $5.50
England $5.80
Ireland $12.50
Wales $15
Australia $19
France $41
Scotland $100
Argentina $81
Japan $301
Fiji $540
Samoa $1001

Others $2001 & over

Market update
New Zealand $2.32
England $5.75
South Africa $5.80
Wales $11.50
Ireland $16.50
Australia $23
France $40
Scotland $200
Argentina $240
Japan $251
Italy $1001

Others $2001 & over
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  #5333  
Old 13th October 2019, 07:49 PM
sportzcaster sportzcaster is offline
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world cup pool-a

japan +7.5 $1.61 v scotland
japan v scotland $1.67
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  #5334  
Old 14th October 2019, 04:33 AM
punts2 punts2 is offline
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Default RWC

Not really surprised Japan through to the final 8
15 players in their 31-man squad having qualified on the basis of three-year residency
They've done their homework
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  #5335  
Old 15th October 2019, 04:25 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
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Default Rugby World Cup Quarter Finals

I was curious what would happen when I posted fair odds for the 40 group-phase matches of the Rugby World Cup before game 1, using the World Rugby Ratings and their method of getting the probability of winning. After I posted, I looked at the then bookie odds posted for all 40 matches. I only found 6 value bets, one of which got cancelled by the typhoon. Of the remaining 5, 3 cashed for a 63% profit on turnover. The 3 profitable matches were when Japan beat Scotland, France beat Argentine and Wales beat Australia. The losses were when South Africa lost to New Zealand and the USA lost to Tonga.

I just took the updated ratings posted by World Rugby. Here are what the fair odds would be, using the World Rugby Ratings and adding 3 points to Japan’s rating for the World Rugby home advantage.

England 1.37 versus Australia 3.71
New Zealand 1.33 versus Ireland 4.04
Wales 1.14 versus France 7.97
South Africa 1.87 versus Japan 2.14

Good luck,

Ray Stefani
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  #5336  
Old 16th October 2019, 03:06 AM
kiwiz kiwiz is offline
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Wink

Thankyou Ray
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  #5337  
Old 17th October 2019, 09:00 AM
Sands Sands is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sands
Market update
New Zealand $2.32
England $5.75
South Africa $5.80
Wales $11.50
Ireland $16.50
Australia $23
France $40
Scotland $200
Argentina $240
Japan $251
Italy $1001

Others $2001 & over

Market update
New Zealand $2.22
South Africa $4.70
England $6.40
Wales $12
Ireland $24
Australia $32
France $44
Japan $67
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  #5338  
Old 19th October 2019, 08:00 AM
sportzcaster sportzcaster is offline
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england -4.5 $1.53 v australia
england v australia +10.5 $1.91
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  #5339  
Old 19th October 2019, 07:08 PM
sportzcaster sportzcaster is offline
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new zealand -9.5 $1.91 v ireland
new zealand v ireland +15.5 $1.53
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  #5340  
Old 20th October 2019, 01:26 PM
sportzcaster sportzcaster is offline
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wales -5.5 $2.00 v france
wales v france +7.5 $1.91
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