Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Sports and Gambling
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #5531  
Old 17th March 2021, 05:36 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default EPL Rounds 29 and 18

The EPL only scheduled four matches this weekend, three from what was originally to be round 29 and one from what was originally to be round 18.
Most of the EPL is playing FA Cup matches this weekend and are not available for scheduling. Arsenal also has a cup match so their EPL fixture is congested.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc EPL Round 29 and 18.doc (64.5 KB, 76 views)
Reply With Quote
  #5532  
Old 23rd March 2021, 07:29 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default EPL Round 30

For Round 30, there are congested fixtures for Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea, Man City and Man U due to cup matches.

The EPL teams have done remarkable well in their cup matches this season. Liverpool, Man City and Chelsea have reached the quarterfinals of the Champions League. Arsenal and Man U are in the quarterfinals of the Europa League. Man City, Chelsea, Southampton and Leicester are in the semifinals of the FA Cup. Man City will play Tottenham in the League Cup Final.

Good luck.

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc EPL Round 30.doc (65.5 KB, 66 views)
Reply With Quote
  #5533  
Old 6th April 2021, 08:43 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default EPL Round 31

Round 30 was a very successful week. My favourites won 7 of the 8 matches that werenít drawn. Value bets were cashed by those that bet on Aston Villa and West Ham.

My one loss by a favourite was in a congested fixture when Chelsea lost 2-5 to West Brom that had decimal odds of 15.

I am posting my predictions for what was originally to be Round 31. Be aware that there are congested fixtures for Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal and Man U.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc EPL Round 31.doc (66.0 KB, 58 views)
Reply With Quote
  #5534  
Old 14th April 2021, 06:07 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default EPL Round 32

Round 31 went well. Those that placed value bets on Newcastle and Wolves cashed. There was a 38% profit on turnover for Round 31, bringing the seasonís profit on turnover (while avoiding congested fixtures) to 73%.
The reason there are 7 matches shown for Round 32 is that the other three matches would conflict with FA Cup weekend semifinal matches for four EPL teams.

The Round 32 matches go through Tuesday. There are congested fixtures for Arsenal, Liverpool, Man U and Chelsea. That leaves un-congested fixtures for Everton-Tottenham, Newcastle- West Ham and Wolves-Sheffield.

Good luck and good health,

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc EPL Round 32.doc (65.5 KB, 35 views)
Reply With Quote
  #5535  
Old 23rd April 2021, 11:30 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default EPL Round 33

After these eight games from what originally was to be Round 33, the EPL will be caught up to the original schedule except for two postponed matches that have to be made up.

Of these eight matches, the only un-congested fixtures are for Liverpool-Newastle, Sheffield-Brighton and Wolves-Burnley.

Good luck and good health,

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc EPL Round 33.doc (66.0 KB, 24 views)
Reply With Quote
  #5536  
Old 27th April 2021, 08:41 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default EPL Round 34

The EPL schedule has now caught up as of what was originally to be Round 34, except for two matches that were postponed from earlier rounds.

For Round 34, there are congested matches for Chelsea, Man City, Man U, Arsenal and Tottenham.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc EPL Round 34.doc (66.0 KB, 24 views)
Reply With Quote
  #5537  
Old 4th May 2021, 09:48 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default EPL Round 35

There will be Champions and Europa League matches at midweek before Round 35 and several midweek matches after the round. The only matches without congested fixtures are Fulham-Burnley, Leeds-Tottenham and Wolves-Brighton.

Be well,

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc EPL Round 35.doc (67.0 KB, 16 views)
Reply With Quote
  #5538  
Old 11th May 2021, 11:17 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default EPL Rounds 19,32,34 and 36

The 5 congested fixtures at midweek will be followed by 8 weekend matches. If the games are actually played, then all teams will have completed was was originally to be the first 36 rounds. There will then be two rounds left (maybe).

The round just ended was typical when there are 7 congested fixtures. If you bet equally on all congested fixture underdogs, you would have made a 110% profit on turnover.

Be well,

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc EPL Round 36.doc (66.0 KB, 9 views)
Reply With Quote
  #5539  
Old 14th May 2021, 07:58 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default EPL Round 36 (8 games)

Here are my predictions for the remaining matches of what originally was to be round 36. This is actually the 40th round played. All the remaining 28 matches have congested fixtures.

Man U was victimized by having to play 2 matches in 3 days, losing both. As per usual, an equal bet on all 5 underdogs in the congested fixtures would have earned a 58% profit, bringing the season profit to 21%, betting on all 241 underdogs in congested fixtures.

Home advantage? In 352 matches, the home teams have won 130, drawn 81 and lost 141, the legacy of lacking home fans.

Good luck!

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc EPL Round 36.doc (67.0 KB, 5 views)
Reply With Quote
  #5540  
Old 14th May 2021, 10:31 AM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 603
Default Value Bet Results So Far

I should have brought you up to date on value bets. There have been 352 matches so far. After the first 28 matches where we were waiting to see if ratings settled out, there have been 83 matches without congested fixtures. If you followed my betting rules, you would have made 33 value bets, of which 18 would have cashed for a profit on turnover of 61%.

Among the 241 congested fixtures were what would have seemed to be 78 value bets. Of those, only 21 would have cashed for a loss on turnover of 23%.

The team managers have to be careful not to exhaust players during congested fixtures so the teams are not necessarily at the same strength as when the ratings were calculated.

Stay well,

Ray Stefani
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 09:09 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655