Melbourne Cup 2021
The first horse into the 2021 Melbourne Cup will be decided on May 15th:
"The Andrew Ramsden Race Day is named after an important figure in Australian racing. Andrew Ramsden steered the VRC and, for a time, the industry through an era of change. He served the sport with both pride and distinction.
The feature Listed race The Andrew Ramsden is sure to be a thrilling contest. This staying test of 2800m is a ‘Golden Ticket' race, where the winner earns valuable ballot exemption for entry in the 2021 Lexus Melbourne Cup".
Flemington - May 15th
Race 8 - The Andrew Ramsden (2800 METRES)
Of $400,000. 1st $240,000, 2nd $72,000, 3rd $36,000, 4th $18,000, 5th $10,000, 6th $8,000, 7th $8,000, 8th $8,000
Prize money contribution totalling 3% will be directed to jockey and equine welfare prior to distribution.
Listed. No class restriction, Set Weights, Three-Years-Old, Four-Years-Old and Five-Years-Old, No sex restriction
Nominations close: Mon 10-May-21 12:00PM AEST
Weights declared by: Mon 10-May-21 4:00PM AEST
Acceptances must be declared before: Wed 12-May-21 9:30AM AEST
Riders must be declared before: Wed 12-May-21 1:00PM AEST
Scratching close: Sat 15-May-21 7:30AM AEST
Last year's results:
1st - OCEANEX ($6.40/$2.00)
2nd - KING OF LEOGRANCE ($1.10)
3rd - SUPER GIRL ($3.80)
4th - SKELM
Replay - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jy2L4krKhgs
Oceanex would go on to finish 11th (5.55L) in the Melbourne Cup at $81.
Steel Prince won the inaugural "golden ticket" Ramsden in 2019 and finished 9th in that year's Melbourne Cup at $61.
Weights for Saturday's Andrew Ramsden. Max field size of 18, so one to miss out at this stage.
Still waiting on the race conditions to appear on RV's website...
Current Top 5 in the betting (per Sportsbet):
#1 - Prince Of Arran - $15
Three-time Melbourne Cup placegetter Prince Of Arran is equal favourite. It's that history rather than current form that has him top of the pops - now at 9 years old. He resumed racing 3 months after the 2020 Melbourne Cup, contesting a 3200m race on all-weather with the lowest purse he's faced in nearly 4 years. The result was a close third-place finish: of only 4 starters.
Two runs since then have been in higher-grade company, the first of these a very disappointing effort in Saudi Arabia, prompting his trainer Charlie Fellowes to jump onto Twitter: "All plans on hold for PRINCE OF ARRAN for the time being after a 2nd very slow start in a row," he tweeted. "He owes us absolutely nothing and we will take our time before making any further decisions on his future. He is safe and well after his race and flies back to England on Monday."
Following rumours that Prince of Arran had run his last race, and with his name missing from Gold Cup nominations, Fellowes said the following: "The Lexus Melbourne Cup in 2021 is very much our number one target and I felt like travelling to Dubai would be the wrong thing to do with that in mind".
He's since raced back at home, finishing 11 lengths behind a field led by Stradivarius; Prince Of Arran at $34 was never in it.
The good news though, I guess, is that he was doing just as bad ahead of last year's Cup! Fellowes has previously expressed concern regarding the strict new veterinary requirements for international Cup entrants. You'd imagine Prince Of Arran would be in good order if he'd make the trip. This far out though, and favourite? There for name recognition only, surely...
#2 - Tiger Moth - $15
Ran once since his runner-up finish in last year's Cup: came last. Reported prior to that race: "We don’t really see him as a stayer. We ran him in the Melbourne Cup as we felt he was very well-in at the weights there (carrying 52.5kg) and that it was worth taking a chance. "I don’t think he’ll go for the Melbourne Cup again as he’d have a lot more weight to carry, but he showed he can travel and operate down there, so he could go back there for other big races over shorter trips."
Aside from that, he doesn't like the pre-screening either: "I’m not sure whether we get to go to Australia with many horses at all this year because there’s a new scan that very few horses will pass," O’Brien said.
"So really, it’s probably impossible for us to go with horses if that is one of the new things this year, maybe that can change.
"I would imagine very few of them will get through that and probably very few of them we would ask to do that with."
It's likely that's all talk, trying to shift policy somewhat, but it seems doubtful that even if Tiger Moth did come, that he'd be contesting the Cup.
Was set to run in Ireland last weekend - over 2400m - but was scratched due to changed track conditions. Nominated for July's Goodwood Cup and September's Irish St Leger.
#3 - Incentivise - $17
Won earlier today, comprehensively, at his first Group race: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e88bvNh1L3M. Went against some quality runners, including Mirage Dancer and Southern France, and smacked them by 12 lengths. This was his 6th win in a row, beginning with his maiden in April.
He's the race favourite at most of the other books; price will likely come in here tomorrow. Still only has a rating of 82 but now has a qualifying performance on the board. Looks like he'd comfortably make the Cup distance!
Following this race, he's being moved to Melbourne for a Spring campaign to be plotted by Peter Moody.
#4 - Kemari - $19
Kemari is this year's Tiger Moth and so on: a lightly-raced Northern Hemisphere 3yo. Only 3 races so far, for 2 wins: a 6L Maiden victory and the 3yo Group 2 Queen's Vase (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1HRYDmoKHuE).
From trainer Charlie Appleby after that race:"“I hope he will make up into a Cup horse for next year. This year - as we all know, in the past few years three-year-olds in the Melbourne Cup, they have produced the goods. Whether he gets to that level, we’ll see, but we’ll enjoy today and have the discussions with our principals and managers during the next few weeks and map the autumn out. He’s got a profile that is working in that direction, anyway."
"I think Kemari is quite a straightforward horse. I would say he is [Melbourne Cup type]. The team know that race well and I would be very surprised if they don't have one eye on that race."
Appleby also trained Cross Counter, another gelded 3yo who had to look overseas for suitable racing targets. If the vetting conditions hadn't changed this year, I'd be pretty confident of him coming over. Will have to wait and see how keen Godolphin are on that though.
#5 - Zaaki - $19
Won his last 3 in Queensland: open group races, at that. Had over 20 starts before arriving in the country, the bulk of which were over 1600-2000m, and none further than 2100m. The $3.50 favourite for the Cox Plate, which seems the main target. Would have to be a big query on him then targeting the Cup...
2021 LEXUS MELBOURNE CUP
(161st of Series)
TUESDAY 2 NOVEMBER 2021
At FLEMINGTON RACECOURSE, MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA
First - $4,400,000 and trophies valued at $200,000, $20,000, $15,000, $7,500 & $7,500 to owner, rider, trainer, strapper and breeder respectively
Second - $1,100,000
Third - $550,000
Fourth - $350,000
Fifth - $230,000
Sixth - $160,000
Seventh - $160,000
Eighth - $160,000
Ninth - $160,000
Tenth - $160,000
Eleventh - $160,000
Twelfth - $160,000
For horses earning prizemoney for being placed 1st – 12th inclusive, respective prizemonies payable shall be distributed as follows:
Owner - 85%; Trainer - 10%; Rider - 5%
Entries close at 12 NOON on TUESDAY 3 AUGUST 2021. Fee - $1,000 ($800 cheaper than last year).
Late Entries: Any horse not previously entered may be nominated before 12 NOON on 10 AUGUST 2021. Fee - $5,500.
New this year: the winner of each of the following international races is eligible to be nominated as a late entry by 25 AUGUST 2021. Fee - $1,000:
Handicaps will be declared no later than MONDAY 13 SEPTEMBER 2021.
3YO C&G 50.0kg; 3YO Filly 48.5kg
NH 3YO C&G 56.5kg; NH 3YO Filly 55.0kg
4YO E&G 58.0kg; 4YO Mare 56.5kg
5YO+ E&G 59.5kg 5YO+ Mare 58.0kg
Minimum Handicap Weight:
There is no maximum weight for this race. Minimum top weight of 58kg at the time of weights being released. There is no minimum top weight after acceptances.
No allowances for apprentices.
The Handicapper can determine that, after declaration of weights, a subsequent winner of an internationally recognised Listed, Group or Graded flat race may carry additional weight. (It's only applicable for handicapped races >= 1600m, or non-handicaps >= 2300m).
Declarations of Acceptance
There is now a third declaration ahead of final declarations. It now costs an additional $1,000 all-up, in comparison to last year.
First Declaration: TUESDAY 7 SEPTEMBER (Fee: $1,500)
Second Declaration: TUESDAY 28 SEPTEMBER (Fee: $2,000)
Third Declaration: TUESDAY 12 OCTOBER (Fee: $3,000)
Fourth Declaration: MONDAY 25 OCTOBER (Fee: $4000)
Final Declaration: SATURDAY 30 OCTOBER (Fee: $49,500)
Any horse for which a declaration is not received is removed from the race.
A fourth declaration is new this year; paying $1700 extra than last year with the savings at different stages.
Conditions of Final Acceptance
By 4.30 PM, SATURDAY 30 OCTOBER
- 2021 VRC The Andrew Ramsden
- 2021 VRC The Bart Cummings
- 2021 VRC Lexus Hotham Stakes
- 2021 MVRC Cox Plate
- 2021 MRC Caulfield Cup
Relevant Race Performances
A) since 1 February 2020 inclusive, won or was placed 2nd or 3rd in an internationally recognised Group or Graded flat race run over 2300 metres or further; OR won or was placed 2nd or 3rd in the Queensland Oaks (2020 - Cancelled; 2021 - Duais), or
B) since 1 February 2020 inclusive, was placed 4th or 5th in an internationally recognised Group 1 or Grade 1 flat race run over 2300 metres or further in which horses older than 3 years old could run, OR
C) since 1 February 2020 inclusive, won an internationally recognised Listed flat race run over 2300 metres or further, OR
D) since 1 February 2021 inclusive, won or was placed 2nd or 3rd in the York Ebor (UK; TBD 22nd August) or Champions & Chater Cup (HK; Panfield), OR
E) since 1 February 2021 inclusive, won the Northumberland Plate (UK; Nicholas T), Cesarewitch (UK; 9th October), or Queen Mother Memorial Cup (HK; Butterfield), OR
F) was placed 6th, 7th or 8th in the 2021 MRC Caulfield Cup (16th October), OR
G) was placed 2nd or 3rd in the 2021 MVRC Cox Plate (23rd October), OR
H) won the 2021 VRC TAB Turnbull Stakes (3rd October), OR
I) won or was placed 2nd or 3rd in the 2019 Melbourne Cup (Vow And Declare, Prince Of Arran, Il Paradiso), OR
J) won the 2019 Caulfield Cup (Mer de Glace)
Ballot order will be - asides from those runners who are exempt - in descending weight figure. Those of equal weight will be ordered by aggregate prizemoney received in Relevant Race Performances since 1 February 2019 inclusive.
Progressive order of entry lists will be available on a regular basis from Friday 11 September 2021.
Last edited by walkermac : 31st July 2021 at 12:41 AM.
Entries for the 2021 Melbourne Cup:
Forgot that this was something I used to do! Results of Melbourne Cup nominees today.
A few Cup nominees running over the next couple of days. Each of Wednesday's are currently the favourites in their respective races. Kukeracha is the early fave in Thursday's race.
|Thread Tools||Search this Thread|