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  #5351  
Old 13th November 2019, 06:07 AM
kiwiz kiwiz is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raystef5845
If you want to use the World Rugby ratings yourself for an international, just add three rating points to the home team rating. The probability of a team winning (after adjusting the home team rating) is

P = 0.5 + (team rating opponent rating)/20.

Limit that to the range .5 to .95. The fair decimal odds would be 1/P.

Good luck to all,

Ray Stefani

Thanks Ray
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  #5352  
Old 25th January 2020, 11:42 AM
Fatcat Fatcat is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raystef5845
What a great final! That was worth every pint. Kudos to Springboks Faf de Klerk and Handre Pollard, among many, many others.

....

Good luck to all,

Ray Stefani


Hi Ray

You going to have a crack at Super Rugby again this year? Hope so. Look forward to your great predictions for 2020

Cheers
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  #5353  
Old 25th January 2020, 05:03 PM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
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Default Super Rugby hi from Ray

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fatcat
Hi Ray

You going to have a crack at Super Rugby again this year? Hope so. Look forward to your great predictions for 2020

Cheers

Hi Fatcat. Thanks for the reminder. Sure, I wouldn't miss Super Rugby for anything. I'm starting the new season setup right now!

Cheers,

Ray
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  #5354  
Old 26th January 2020, 07:45 PM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
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Default Super Rugby Round 1

Here we go with another entertaining season.

My ratings start where we left off after last year's final. It takes about 4 weeks to adjust to all the new players and coaching ideas.

Will the Sunwolves respond after having the World Cup to inspire them before they leave Super Rugby or will they be as inconsistent as last year.? We will soon know.

Cheers,

Ray Stefani
Attached Files
File Type: doc Super Rugby Round 1.doc (52.5 KB, 357 views)
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  #5355  
Old 27th January 2020, 07:33 AM
kiwiz kiwiz is offline
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Cheers Ray,,thanks

Would you believe,,every single player contracted to the Sunwolves last season,,bar three,,is no longer at the club
Those remaining are Jaba Bregvadze,,Tom Rowe & Hencus van Wyk

Most interesting addition is Ben Teo
He is a veteran of eight NRL seasons & three State of Origin series
Switched to Rugby in 2014,,playing for Leinster,,Worcester Warriors & Toulon since
Will probably be their player to watch

Last edited by kiwiz : 27th January 2020 at 07:37 AM.
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  #5356  
Old 27th January 2020, 07:48 AM
kiwiz kiwiz is offline
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NZR will persist with Super Rugby rest protocols for top players this year

Two games off (on top of each teams' two byes)
No more than six games played in succession (byes and rest weeks reset the count)
A 180-minute cap on game time over the first three rounds & including load building e.g. 40 minutes,,then 60,,then 80
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  #5357  
Old 27th January 2020, 07:54 AM
kiwiz kiwiz is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kiwiz
NZR will persist with Super Rugby rest protocols for top players this year

Two games off (on top of each teams' two byes)
No more than six games played in succession (byes and rest weeks reset the count)
A 180-minute cap on game time over the first three rounds & including load building e.g. 40 minutes,,then 60,,then 80

Could be some changes to the rest policies next season though with three fewer regular season games for each team & the switch to the round robin format
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  #5358  
Old 27th January 2020, 08:10 AM
kiwiz kiwiz is offline
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Super Rugby 2020 winner

Crusaders $3.20
Chiefs $5.00
Hurricanes $9.00
Blues $14.00
Highlanders $15.00
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  #5359  
Old 2nd February 2020, 01:35 PM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
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Default Super Rugby Round 2

Those Sunwolves off-season moves really aid off in Round 1. If anyone bet on them , they got a nice 6.00 payoff.

Here comes Round 2 with the usual comment that we need to see how the ratings move due to off-season changes for a few weeks.

The plan for a round-robin schedule next season has some issues that come with it. The home-away schedule only balances after every two seasons.

Australia teams will have 3 games against domestic opponents instead of 6. NZ teams will have 4 games against domestic opponents instead of 8.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani
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File Type: doc Super Rugby Round 2.doc (52.5 KB, 332 views)
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  #5360  
Old 9th February 2020, 05:37 PM
Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline
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Default Super Rugby Round 3

Round 2 had some exciting moments. The Chiefs beat the Crusaders and have made a lot of upward movement since the end of last season. The Hurricanes made a stirring comeback in the last minutes to beat the Jaguars away.

We need to give the teams two more rounds to make sure the big ratings movements over the first two Rounds are justified.

Enjoy Round 3.

Ray Stefani
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File Type: doc Super Rugby Round 3.doc (52.5 KB, 320 views)
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