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Showing results 1 to 25 of 166
Search took 0.12 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: osulldj |
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
21st July 2004, 08:44 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 11,966
Posted By
osulldj
Hi Lucky,
There may not be as many races at...Hi Lucky, There may not be as many races at longer distances but in my opinion that doesn't mean the stats have less meaning than those at shorter distances. There will always be more races at... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
20th July 2004, 11:07 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 11,966
Posted By
osulldj
G'Day Luckyboy,
Yes, I do beg to differ.
I...G'Day Luckyboy, Yes, I do beg to differ. I have run the TAB number 1 analysis, restricting only to HCP races. 800-1199m 21% SR (1,229 races) 1200-1599m 17% SR (2,729 races) 1600-1999m 17% SR... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
20th July 2004, 07:32 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 11,966
Posted By
osulldj
Weight is largely overrated.
The opinion that...Weight is largely overrated. The opinion that the longer the distance the less the topweight or higher weighted horses win has no factual evidence to support it: Take for example the strike rate of... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
29th April 2004, 01:46 PM
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Replies: 31
Views: 15,151
Posted By
osulldj
Why all the focus on convoluted formulas? Its...Why all the focus on convoluted formulas? Its easy to fool yourself that you are doing something worthwhile and useful just because its based on some (apparently clever) mathematical calculation.... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
31st March 2004, 10:38 AM
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Replies: 25
Views: 7,186
Posted By
osulldj
Every year for some reason there are booms placed...Every year for some reason there are booms placed on the VRC Derby winner as the next big thing in Aust. racing. However history shows us that winners of the VRC Derby rarely if ever live up to it.... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
18th March 2004, 08:42 AM
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Replies: 8
Views: 3,816
Posted By
osulldj
G'day everyone,
To add to what others have...G'day everyone, To add to what others have said... The position a horse is likely to settle in a field can be estimated by looking at previous in run positions. However you need to keep the... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
27th December 2003, 04:23 PM
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Replies: 82
Views: 22,576
Posted By
osulldj
Hi Partypooper,
Just had a look at the market...Hi Partypooper, Just had a look at the market prices. In the consensus that Educated Money can't run 1200m? At $7 fixed odds and better on the tote I would be happy to put it ahead of Lion Heart.... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
26th December 2003, 06:41 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 11,735
Posted By
osulldj
Hi Crash,
$7 was a great price Choreograph given...Hi Crash, $7 was a great price Choreograph given it started $4.40 fav. I didn't bet in the race but unfortunately Bulbasaur was just able to fend off what I'm sure would have been a great collect... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
26th December 2003, 01:05 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 11,735
Posted By
osulldj
While on the topic of formlines, there has been...While on the topic of formlines, there has been another great recent example. On 6/12 there was a maiden won by Debonair, which on figures shaped up as stronger than usual. Out of that... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
24th December 2003, 04:04 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 11,735
Posted By
osulldj
G'day Chrome,
There were no runners that won...G'day Chrome, There were no runners that won after a spell...one placed at 25/1 and I agree its not chased through from the previous form line. You said... "Twice in your post you said "but... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
24th December 2003, 01:10 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 11,735
Posted By
osulldj
To offer an alternative view point, form lines...To offer an alternative view point, form lines ARE one of the most important aspects in racing. Identifying strong and weak form races is very helpful in doing the form in future events and finding... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
6th December 2003, 07:23 AM
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Replies: 82
Views: 22,576
Posted By
osulldj
Hi Partypooper,
It's a little hard to provide...Hi Partypooper, It's a little hard to provide feedback unless you support your selections with comments as to why you like them as potential bets and what the value scenario is you envisage. But,... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
2nd December 2003, 12:04 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 5,027
Posted By
osulldj
Hi Party,
I think your answer was spot on. At...Hi Party, I think your answer was spot on. At the time I started typing there were no responses to good 4th...then when I posted, magic! Your's was there. The silly answers I am referring to are... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
2nd December 2003, 10:24 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 5,027
Posted By
osulldj
Good 4th,
Ask a silly question and you are...Good 4th, Ask a silly question and you are likely to get a whole heap of silly answers. You are asking for "magic" to make an ordinary performing set of selections produce a remarkable profit. Take... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
26th November 2003, 10:16 AM
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Replies: 22
Views: 11,592
Posted By
osulldj
Hi Crash,
It was remiss of me to group...Hi Crash, It was remiss of me to group handicapping skills in the same group as fruitless betting schemes. Handicapping skills are an essential element to success...in fact you must become a good... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
26th November 2003, 10:09 AM
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Replies: 22
Views: 11,592
Posted By
osulldj
Hi Chrome,
I thought my statement would arouse a...Hi Chrome, I thought my statement would arouse a little response. It goes against the grain or "set your prices and bet the overs" that has been espoused for more than 30 years. I think it is only... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
25th November 2003, 09:26 PM
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Replies: 22
Views: 11,592
Posted By
osulldj
Rather than try and improve handicapping skills...Rather than try and improve handicapping skills or come up with clever betting schemes...most punters could improve their punting results by a minimum of 30% if they they improved their decision... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
25th November 2003, 09:13 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 4,954
Posted By
osulldj
Good 4th,
Punting success isn't about finding...Good 4th, Punting success isn't about finding some clever little betting scheme that can help turn a loser into a winner or even to get a 'soft ride'. These schemes do not work period! They don't... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
18th November 2003, 01:08 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 5,878
Posted By
osulldj
Hi all,
I would like to offer an alternative...Hi all, I would like to offer an alternative view. POT is fine in theory, but unfortunately it doesn't pay the bills. The only thing that does is real dollars. As someone who punts quite seriously... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
13th November 2003, 10:00 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 8,198
Posted By
osulldj
Hi Chrome,
The way I explain it is that the...Hi Chrome, The way I explain it is that the price of the runner has nothing to do with it's value..whats important is the difference between that and the price it should be. You can use such a... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
13th November 2003, 09:51 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 5,338
Posted By
osulldj
G'day crash,
Subjective judgement or lets call...G'day crash, Subjective judgement or lets call it the 'art' of punting is what makes a winner. Once you have worked out a race and your opinion on who you think can and can't win, then the game has... |
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Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems
13th November 2003, 01:43 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 8,198
Posted By
osulldj
Hi Bhagwan.
Good advice, it looks astonishingly...Hi Bhagwan. Good advice, it looks astonishingly similar to the answer to a question I posted on my website. http://www.form-pro.com.au/Q&A.html Sounds like a sensible plan to me :smile: I should... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
13th November 2003, 11:36 AM
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Replies: 10
Views: 5,338
Posted By
osulldj
You're missing the point Shaun.
Punting is about...You're missing the point Shaun. Punting is about VALUE. Value means the price you get for a horse is better than its chance of winning (however you work that out). In reality the total of all... |
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Forum: Horse Racing
13th November 2003, 07:58 AM
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Replies: 10
Views: 5,338
Posted By
osulldj
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Forum: Horse Racing
12th November 2003, 09:38 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 5,338
Posted By
osulldj
HI Testa,
It's actually the other way around...I...HI Testa, It's actually the other way around...I suggested setting your market to different percentages based on the approach that you only price 4 or 5 runners. Id didn't recommend that you price... |
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