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Search: Posts Made By: TheDuck
Forum: Sports and Gambling 31st March 2003, 01:03 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 13,531
Posted By TheDuck
Those who don't know how to do it, Mr. J, those...

Those who don't know how to do it, Mr. J, those who don't know how to do it.
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 5th February 2003, 04:30 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 27,601
Posted By TheDuck
Every Topic, you hit it on the head there. I...

Every Topic, you hit it on the head there. I don't want to be remembered as the guy who knew his horses. I want to be remembered as the guy who knew his bank manager!

Unlike my father-in-law who...
Forum: Horse Racing 5th February 2003, 04:27 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 4,427
Posted By TheDuck
Actually, Australia Day holds a special place in...

Actually, Australia Day holds a special place in the hearts of this family. It's my son's birthday!

Since it's on all Canadian calendars he notices it every year. He tells everybody that Australia...
Forum: Horse Racing 5th February 2003, 04:22 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 4,764
Posted By TheDuck
Whoops! You have to still be a member to be...

Whoops! You have to still be a member to be contacted!!
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 18th January 2003, 03:43 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 27,601
Posted By TheDuck
Hey, Every Topic, didn't mean to offend if it...

Hey, Every Topic, didn't mean to offend if it seemed that way. I'm all for any approach you suggest and willing to help any way I can. I was serious about the dutching thing. I really don't think I'm...
Forum: Sports and Gambling 18th January 2003, 03:33 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 22,549
Posted By TheDuck
What say you, Magic Flute??? How can this be...

What say you, Magic Flute???

How can this be so?? There are "sure fire methods" and books and everything that you can buy for silly amounts of money that make poker machines a guaranteed...
Forum: Sports and Gambling 18th January 2003, 03:28 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 6,527
Posted By TheDuck
If you run this formula against the odds offered...

If you run this formula against the odds offered by any bookie you will find that it is just over 1.

If it is 1.1 then that bookie is running a tight ship. If it is around 1.3 then that's typical....
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 15th January 2003, 01:29 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 27,601
Posted By TheDuck
Hey Every Topic, You have to be careful about...

Hey Every Topic,

You have to be careful about assumptions. Favourites do not come in more often than the rest of the field. And even that depends on the class, type, etc. of the race. It can vary...
Forum: Sports and Gambling 15th January 2003, 01:07 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 14,776
Posted By TheDuck
Eh, what? Actually, have been busy on a UK...

Eh, what?

Actually, have been busy on a UK forum. I apologize for my absence. It must have been hard not having someone pestering everybody here with odd para-mathematical opinions.

:grin:

-Duck
Forum: Sports and Gambling 15th January 2003, 01:04 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 6,527
Posted By TheDuck
Yes, Consider Horses A, B, C and D in the...

Yes,

Consider Horses A, B, C and D in the race.

The odds are 5/2, 4/1, 7/1 and 8/1 respectively.

First determine their decimal probability with 1/(1+odds). So, again respectively,

1/(1+(5/2)) =...
Forum: Sports and Gambling 3rd December 2002, 10:29 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 14,776
Posted By TheDuck
becareful is right. It only applies to bonuses...

becareful is right. It only applies to bonuses (usually!).

For fun, see how much it costs to get your money out of the online casino.
Forum: Horse Racing 3rd December 2002, 10:24 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 2,603
Posted By TheDuck
However! It may be an indirect indicator. I...

However!

It may be an indirect indicator. I agree that a few kg may be nothing to a big animal that shoots around the track with something on it's back anyway. But in handicaps they'll be allocating...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 17th October 2002, 09:09 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 12,718
Posted By TheDuck
Too funny. I'm closer!

Too funny. I'm closer!
Forum: Horse Racing 17th October 2002, 08:32 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 7,326
Posted By TheDuck
You would have to go through an exchange or...

You would have to go through an exchange or international bookie. The totes here require proof of residence in Canada or the U.S.
Forum: Sports and Gambling 10th October 2002, 04:30 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 5,215
Posted By TheDuck
He was on what is called a 'lucky streak'. It's...

He was on what is called a 'lucky streak'. It's not how much you win but how much you take home each time that dictates your success.

I don't know what the law of sixth is (other than a another...
Forum: Horse Racing 9th October 2002, 11:16 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 3,476
Posted By TheDuck
You Aussies (Ozzies?) crack us Canadians up. This...

You Aussies (Ozzies?) crack us Canadians up. This was received in my email inbox today.

---------------------

Never let it be said that Australian ground crews and engineers lack a sense
of humor. ...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 8th October 2002, 02:09 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 6,350
Posted By TheDuck
Hi Tony. Great analysis. My problem is the...

Hi Tony. Great analysis.

My problem is the opposite. I'm trying to avoid the favourite. Imagine your example bets $50 on the favourite every race. I bet $50 against it. What's the result of...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 1st October 2002, 01:25 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 6,396
Posted By TheDuck
Howdy Sherrif, What do you mean ratings to...

Howdy Sherrif,

What do you mean ratings to prices? If you point me in the direction of the website(s) and explain, I can probably create an automated spreadsheet to do it for you.

I'm from Canada...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 25th September 2002, 05:58 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 9,819
Posted By TheDuck
Ditto, becareful's response. No harm intended,...

Ditto, becareful's response. No harm intended, just amused at the names they've given the systems.

Speaking of naming, I'm reminded of a Bugs Bunny cartoon from back when. It was a dog race and...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 24th September 2002, 06:16 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 9,819
Posted By TheDuck
Keep It Simple and Eight Is Enough? Are these...

Keep It Simple and Eight Is Enough? Are these available from http://www.cliche.com or something?

The first one is the KISS principle, the second is an old television show (here, anyway, but I'm sure...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 24th September 2002, 06:14 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 18,207
Posted By TheDuck
Besides, have you ever ridden a race horse? They...

Besides, have you ever ridden a race horse? They do not like to go slow. It is a job for those guys on top to keep them in check if they're plan for the race is to pace. That's why experienced...
Forum: Sports and Gambling 24th September 2002, 06:07 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 10,616
Posted By TheDuck
I'll be happy to figure out how this law of the...

I'll be happy to figure out how this law of the thirds equates in terms of probability. In the meantime, you might go here while waiting.

http://www.thewizardofodds.com/game/roulette.html

You might...
Forum: Sports and Gambling 10th September 2002, 10:28 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 6,751
Posted By TheDuck
Actually, there is a UK forum that has a list of...

Actually, there is a UK forum that has a list of horse racing systems.

http://www.uk-racing.com/forum/

There is a board on that forum just for systems. You would have to try them and refine them...
Forum: Horse Racing 22nd August 2002, 02:31 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 6,811
Posted By TheDuck
Those are hysterical! To bend the topic slightly,...

Those are hysterical! To bend the topic slightly, some from my neighbour:

"I'll never forget what's-her-name"

"I don't mean to be condescending, which means to talk down to someone, but..."

And...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 22nd August 2002, 01:55 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 15,015
Posted By TheDuck
I thought I should also point out what I'm up to....

I thought I should also point out what I'm up to. While at the cottage I'm trying to figure out how to use opposing information. For example, we would like to bet on favourites but they don't come in...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 60

 
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