View Single Post
Old 27th September 2017, 09:44 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 3,742

A simple rule based system with a theme:

Target Favourites in form starting from a poor barrier.

1. Favourite in the race
2. Barrier >= 5
3. Must be a last start winner
4. Should be top rater (usually 100) on tatts

Pretty simple rules. Makes a profit (< 5%) with a good strike rate (42%).

Now most of those rules will be in commercial databases. Even the tatts rating is in some. But add in one other free ratings method which is not as well known and therefore not in any commercial databases and it improves to a very good profit (> 10%) with a 56% strike rate.

Commercial databases will get you so far. Having your own set of data which is different to everyone else will help you find that extra bit of gold.
Reply With Quote