#1
|
|||
|
|||
System?
1) Has the horse won within 100 metres of todays distance?
2) Has the horse won at the track it is racing at today? 3) Did the horse win its last race ort finish within 1.5 lengths of the winner? 4) Is the horse less than 7 years old and had no more than 20 careeer starts? 5) Was the horse's last start less than (and including) 28 days ago? 6) Is the horse trained by a Top 5 trainer in the State? 7) Is the horse being ridden by a Top 5 jockey in the State/ other State (metro) or a top 8 jockey at the track (if a non metro meeting)? 8) Is the distance of today's race is between 800 and 1550 metres AND the contender drawn in barriers 1 - 7? 9) Is the horse one of the top 6 weighted horses in the race? 10) Is the horse number 1 and weighted between 1 and 2 kilos above the weight (pre allowances) of horse number 2? 11) Is the horse carrying within 1 kg of the weight it carried last start? (pre allowances) 12) Did the horse place at its last start AND is being ridden today by the same jockey? 13) Is the horse racing today in a field of less than 16 runners AND priced at less than $10? 14) If the track today is slow or heavy, has the horse previously been placed "in the wet"? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Looks like a good one baco60!
You'll definitely narrow down the good chances in a race and be on mostly quality horseflesh. What about adding: Must have average prizemoney earnings of $3000 plus? I suggest also, a mechanism to isolate the value runners, either by framing your own market or using a calculation to work out the minimum price you're prepared to take. For instance your selection has: 12 career starts for 3 wins 2 starts at the distance for 1 win 3 starts at the track for 1 win 2 starts 2nd up for 1 win. Add 12 + 2 + 3 + 2 = 19 then 3 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 6 19 / 6 = 3 Price = $3.16 Minimum price $3.16 x 1.10 = $3.47 Hope that all makes sense. I had a rather large evening last night...... Two Shoes |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|