#1
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![]() Thought I might revisit this system of mine and tweak it a bit. It must be getting on to 3yrs old and the original rules have performed well during the off again, on again periods I have used it and also for someone here who has used it since day one I think.
Like all systems, this one has had it's 'outs' and a couple of those [happens to all systems] will see the system dumped and punters move on to the next shinny thing, so I'm not bothered about it ruining odds if it proves successful. Nor do I believe in the conspiracy theory that good systems are stolen and sold, as considering the amount of free systems around from many sources [profitable systems too], anyone who pays for one nowadays has a cog loose. The main rule changes here are an up/down in weight rule and a modified barrier rule to cover leaders, on-pacers and mid-pacers [barrier 1 to 9] and back-markers [barrier 3 or more]. Not much point backing a leader from barrier 14 or a back-marker in barrier 1. If you don't know the running style of a horse stick to the barrier 1 to 9 rule and keep your fingers crossed. I thought I might try this with an e/w angle: $1w x $6p and see how things go. ........................................No Brainer revisited........................................ No Hurdles, Maidens, 2yr. olds, Stakes, Group or Cup races. 1. Must be 5yrs. old or less. 2. Add placings last 4 starts. Total must be no more than 9 [0 or S =10]. 3. Last start must have been 21 days or less. 4. Barrier 1 to 9 only or if back-marker, barrier 3 or more only. 5. Must not be up more than 3kg or down more than 4kg. [ignore allowances]. 7. Must have won in conditions. 8. If won last start, must have 20% or better WSR. 9. Morning line odds between $2.50 and $7 Bet: $1w x 6p Selections below: After horse's age there is days since last run, type of runner [L leader, P on-pacer, M mid-pacer, B back-marker], average earnings and SR. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Fri. 30th. BATHURST r7/6 2113 Stop 'n' Go (2)" M A Cahill 54.0 dn 2.5 5/m 11 M 963 18% 37% ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Sat. July 1st. CHELTENHAM PARK r4/2 1251 Aptitry (5)" Ryan Maloney (a 1.5) 55.5 dn 1.5 3/g 19 B 3511 25% 50% ------------------------------------------------------------------------ FLEMINGTON r3/2 1132 Saliente (7)" D Oliver 54.5 dn 4.0 3/g 17 L 4459 27% 54% r5/4 3111 Blutigeroo (9)" D Gauci 55.0 up 2.0 4/g 21 B 5526 35% 58% ------------------------------------------------------------------------ BELMONT PARK r2/ 2131 Hail Halo (6)" 54.5 dn 1.0 3/g 10 M 2473 20% 80% ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ROSEHILL r6/2 1211 Taken At The Flood (4)" J Innes 56.0 up 1.5 4/g 14 L 9264 28% 56% r8/6 2121 With A Chance (4)" G Buckley 54.5 dn 2.0 4/g 19 L 6894 56% 81% ------------------------------------------------------------------------ I will adjust these later for track condt. and PP odds if required. Cheers. Last edited by crash : 30th June 2006 at 07:56 AM. |
#2
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![]() You mentioned track conditions Crash, are we looking at wet tracks everywhere tomorrow? Had a quick look at the weather map, not looking good.
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#3
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![]() Your right mate, condt. will see some of the above ruled out.
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#4
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![]() Bathurst is 'slow' but the above selection for today has won in the slow.
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#5
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![]() But hasn't won in the 'heavy' which is now showing for Bathurst.
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#6
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![]() Ran 3rd [NTD], but no selection anyway. Tomorrow looks dubious on most tracks.
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#7
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![]() Tracks aren't going to be as wet as we first thought!
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#8
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![]() Sat. July 1st.
CHELTENHAM PARK r4/2 Aptitry unp. FLEMINGTON r3/2 Saliente $1.60p r5/4 Blutigeroo $1.40p BELMONT PARK r2/3 Hail Halo $1.50p ROSEHILL r6/2 Taken At The Flood r8/6 With a Chance $3.60w $1.70p w/ol $6 w/r $3.60 p/ol $36 w/r $37.20 t/ol $42 t/r $40.80 loss $1.20 Considering the dodgy weather with rain and gale force winds at some venues [not sure if these runners had won previously in the 'eventual' condt. at their venues at starting time], I'm quite happy with the results so far. No damage done. |
#9
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![]() Sund. 2nd. July
BOWRAVILLE [good] r7/1 3211 Future Funds (9)" N Seymour 57.5 dn 1.5 3/g 8 M 2168 29% 58% -------------------------------------------- HOBART [fine/dead] r7/2 1123 Granite Hill (9)" D M Ganderton (a 3.0) 56.5 dn 0.5 3/g 7 L 3452 31% 81% |
#10
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![]() No joy. This is probably one of those 'murphy' situations that immediately you put up a system that has been doing well things go pear shaped. Can't believe Sund. selections never even placed. Even the tipsters had those 2 on top to win.
Only 1 today. Mon. 3rd. Wagga r8/3 2412 Copy City (11)" M A Cahill 55.5 dn 3.0 4/g 9 M 1183 25% 58% |
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