Hi everybody
Can somebody please assist me?
the ratings on the Tabq site How are they arrived at? are they up to date and are they accurate? One would think that a 100 pointer would win over a 85 pointer but this is not the case. some races have the betting so far down one would beg to find the logic of how the horse got the 100 point rating let alone deserved it.
What percentage of winners are 100 pointers?
Thanks in advance
Beton

Don't know all detail but pretty sure does not include a jockey or barrier penalty or a consistency bonus.

Well, I like them, but like all ratings, they're not going to be right all the time. Far from it. Anyway, I think you'll find they use a method which is actually quite similar to the AAP Neurals. One thing I have noticed is that some horses keep coming up as top raters regularly. That's because I think a large part of the rating figure is based on the horse's best career run, not necessarily it's most recent run.

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-10-22 01:25 ]

You are on the right track there Sportznut - once a horse has exposed form the QTAB rating certainly appears to be based on the nags best run with little reference to recent form or being 1st/2nd up.

How they arrive at ratings for maidens & lightly raced horses would appear to be based around breeding & the trainer.

Yep. That's about right.

Thanks for input to date

Obviously the rating is a measurement of the horses total past ability irrespecive of its present form. an older horse could be well past its use by date. Has anyone got a percentage of wins for 100 pointers?

Regards Beton

100Ptrs win approx. 20%
They have good & bad days like anything else.
The majority are won by Mules with 91+ Pts.
So ,if your selection is less than 91Pts ,bewarey.

The ratings for calculating Maiden races is completely different to calculating Mules with previous form e.g. Barrier trials, Breeding, ect.

__________________
Cheers.