Early odds:

TAB Sportsbet
BRUMBIES $1.42
CRUSADERS $2.65

Sportodds
BRUMBIES $1.48 (-6.5)
CRUSADERS $2.65 (+6.5)

NZ Tab
BRUMBIES $1.50 (-5.5)
CRUSADERS $2.50 (+5.5)

NSW Tab
BRUMBIES $1.45
CRUSADERS $2.60





[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-05-18 17:51 ]

My system says brumbies -7.5.

Whats your predicted half time margin Mr J? if you don't mind me asking.

The computer model doesn't predict half times. You could expect that half the points of the game are scored each half, so it'd be half the spread.

It wouldn't be worth doing for for super 12s (due to lack of halves betting options) but it'd be interesting to record all 1st half and 2nd half scores to see if more points are scored in a certain half.

I might look at brumbies/brumbies, and brumbies 1st half -3, brumbies to score first etc, as long as they're at good odds. If you think a team will win, then you expect them to score more points, to have a better chance of scoring first, to have a better chance of winning both the first and second halves.

Might check these props out.

Some stats Mr.J.

Brumbies. Crusaders. Venue.
1996 29 7 NZ.
1997 49 29 AUS.
1998 26 38 NZ.
1999 21 28 AUS.
2000 17 12 NZ.
2000 19 FINAL 20 AUS.
2001 51 16 AUS.
2002 32 33 NZ.
2002 13 FINAL 31 NZ.
2003 21 28 AUS.
2004 28 47 NZ.
2004 FINAL AUS.

Is it your turn ? Christ knows, I think I'll leave me money in my wallet, anyway Watson is the Ref so she'll be a well Refed game.

That didn't turn out very ************ good did it.

Looking at those stats I think the brumbies are due for a finals win :wink:

Brumbies will be hard to beat at home. I think the brumbies are a stronger team than in previous years, while the crusaders are weaker. Brumbies are obviously clear faves it's just whether the crusaders are capable of taking it to them.

CRUSADERS have a full crew to pick from Mr J. Cris Jack is back from injury...no excuses, they got a hard row to hoe. Keeping me money in me wallet and suck on a few cans instead and enjoy a ************ good game.

Beer O'Clock.

Sportz, MR J, do you have a thought on which team will score 1st points, because i have'nt been watching the last couple of games and wanted to have a punt on this option.

BRUMBIES: $1.77
CRUSADERS: $2.00

cheers

Well, the $2 doesn't look too bad because Carter is a fine kicker and he's liable to slot over an early penalty. Personally though, I wouldn't be having a bet on something like that. It's too much of a lottery.