thought I would start a new thread for my Maiden system as I have been assessing it and am happy with it so far. Started a year ago but need many more stable runners to be able to have regular bets as my stable maiden runners don't seem to qualify under my few race filters often enough.

Have rechecked all runners and started a data sheet to record when each is bet and when it is not, depending on 4 race filters.

In my stable, I have had 27 members. This includes one from NZ and 7 from Australia that I have just added. I thought I would try Australian maidens to see how they fare. Of the 7 Australian maidens added who started last week, only three qualified as per my race filters and Hello Bombshell won at $4.50 (Tabcorp).

To go back over my rules: follow each horse for no more than 5 bets, stopping at it's maiden win. To qualify as a stable member, the sire must rate as a Grade 2 or better under my rating system based upon stakes winners and winners to runners. The female line is also important as is the cross of sire over broodmare sire.

Attached is an xcel file detailing stable runners and bets

Attached Files

Maiden Stable System.xls (24.0 KB, 1046 views)

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“First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.”

Hi Cosmos,

I had a look on your website and the results look really promising!

When you say horse must not be 'fresh', do you mean first-up or say must not have had a break of 30-60days?

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The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Hi TS, must be starting no longer than 30 days since last start or first start...does get the occasional one but saves a few losses as well. As can be seen from the spreadsheet, trainers are apt to move a horse more than 200m up or down from it's last race. From my study over the years, most horses seem to win within the band of 200m plus or minus their last start distance.

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“First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.”

if anyone is still looking...

Stable horses to 21/8/13

31 horses in stable
21 horses have had bets
outlay for $10.00 = $260.00
Return = $870.70
Profit = $610.70 (235%)

Taking 2 race filters into consideration:
9 horses won at first bet
1 horse at second bet
2 horses at third bet

Highest dividend $29.80 (NSW)
Lowest dividend $1.90 (NSW)
From Aug. 2012 to Aug 2013

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“First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.”

I am surprised no one has commented as this system is based on breeding with just a couple of race day filters. I guess over 200% profit does not appeal to most.

I have updated the spreadsheet I posted earlier and will upload if anyone is interested.

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“First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.”

CosMos,

I had a read and thought they were great results. It does interest me a little but i've never looked at the breeding side of horse selection and in particular almost never look at betting on maiden races.

How much time does it take you to identify horses for your stable?