Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 18th November 2004, 06:30 PM
good 4th good 4th is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 155
Default

If you had of backed the top eight jockeys at Ipswich today...
Only four were riding

J POWELL....5 Rides P/L.$6.4
G COLLESS...6 RIDES P/L.$15.1
S SCRIVEN...2 RIDES P/L.$3.4
S KATSIDIS..1 RIDE P/L.$1.9

Outlaid $14
Return $40.8
P/L $26.8
POT% 65.6%

DONT KNOW IF IT MEANS ANYTHING AS IVE BEEN DOWN THIS ROAD BEFORE...
__________________
Never give up
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 19th November 2004, 08:15 AM
syllabus23 syllabus23 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: newcastle nsw
Posts: 436
Default

There is plenty of logic behind your thinking.

Jockeys pay their Managers to get them good rides.It's clearly in both of their best interests to get results.

I'm sure there are plenty of forumites who would like to know how you are going including me.Good luck with it...
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 19th November 2004, 11:00 PM
Sporty Sporty is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 259
Default

so how do you get the jockeys stats for each track

ive seen them for just country and metrop
not broken down
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 3rd January 2005, 07:15 AM
syllabus23 syllabus23 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: newcastle nsw
Posts: 436
Default

So,,,how's it going ??????
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 3rd January 2005, 07:04 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,330
Smile darkydog2002

I wonder how you would go if you had a change from a non- winning jockey to a top rider and the horse had ran 2nd or 3rd last start.?
The theory being that the trainer expects a win.
Cheers.
darky.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 3rd January 2005, 09:52 PM
KennyVictor KennyVictor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Mt Tamborine
Posts: 574
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
I wonder how you would go if you had a change from a non- winning jockey to a top rider and the horse had ran 2nd or 3rd last start.?
The theory being that the trainer expects a win.
Cheers.
darky.


I and a lot of other people took a chance on just the opposite case at Bunbury last week. After having a good jockey the previous 3 rides (including a last start win) Spirited Gem started favorite with an apprentice on it's back in race 7. There was much wailing and gnashing of teeth when he fell off at the 900m mark. Based on that performance you may have a good point there darky.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 4th January 2005, 08:03 AM
syllabus23 syllabus23 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: newcastle nsw
Posts: 436
Talking

I was idly number crunching jockey strike rates.This sent a chill through me because several similar examples popped up.

I looked in racenet and saw what appeared to be a definite bias towards certain tracks by particular jockeys.Ahhh I thought,it's the old horses for courses theory.

Here is an example....

P.Graham (who I see ride a lot around the local traps)

Muswellbrook....101 rides for 5 winners and a strike rate of 5%
Port Macquarie..146 rides for 25 winners and a strike rate of 17.1%

Sticks out like the proverbial dog's balls doesnt it ???

Except......

At Muswellbrook his total placings (including wins) are 47.This gives him an overall strike rate of 46.5%

At Port Macquarie his total placings (including wins) are 73.This gives him an overall strike rate of 50%

Over all of the tracks that he attends his total strike rate is 48.4%

Is he unlucky at Muswellbrook ?? Lucky at Port Macquarie??? Or is he simply a very consistent rider???

It's a worry this racing game.....Anyway,, my Mrs is just fixing dinner for tonight.Spiced chicken breasts.I can bet on them.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 01:48 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655