Any selection system will have a expected run of outs in direct porportion to the win S/R.
Now, how do I work out the expected number of outs from a system that produces a S/R of say 45%, 70%, 75% and 80%.

If someone will tell me how its done, I can do it for meself. Then I can bet the max % of my bank "safely"

Also, when you talk about the "fav" I assume the "fav" is the fav at the start of the race, not the fav I see in the form guide from the newspaper.
How long before the race starts can we confidently pick the "fav"?

It might be an idea for the mods to get together and write up a sticky for all us newbies, call it "faqs for newbies". Just a thought ;-)

Thanks,
Mike