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If you race off to Sportodds website,you will find,what Floydyboy calls roll-your-own odds.
If you analyse these you will come up with a formula or graph of converting margins to prices. I use a formula to do same. It is K^M+1 where K=0.955 and M= margin So for example if you think Essendon can beat Brisbane by 12 points First do the power part 0.955 to the power of 12 equals 0.575 Then add plus 1 equals 1.575 Rounding off gives an acceptable price of $1.58 Prediction of a draw becomes $2 A 1 point margin becomes $1.95 for the favourite and $2.05 for the underdog. Cheers Mo. |
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