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Have been doing a quick analysis of favourites over the last 12 months and found the following based on my data which is Wednesday, Sunday, Saturday metropolitan everywhere.
All favs: 31.9% strike rate resulting in a 13.4% loss on turnover Odds on favs: 50.7% S/R for 16.2%lot. All favs first up after spell or first start in race: 27% S/R for 30% lot Odds on favs first up or first start: 35.4% S/R for 46% lot (admittedly only 50 such favs in this sample) Backing every favourite which was not first up and won last start by at least 1.8 lengths resulted in a 46% S/R and 10% pot over 340 bets.(longest run of outs 7 once followed by 5 twice) Any other ideas? |
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