Clijster's cruised through in a fairly impressive result and now meets Davenport in the final. I'll be sitting this one out as the 'mental pressure factor' is too unpredictable - though Lindsay deserves to be favourite. Big week next week as the NASDQ gets underway so there'll be plenty of betting action.

Good to see the ATP lads are on a roll too.

Update

Bets 39; 31 Won; 8 Lost.
At Flat Stakes: Bet 39; Won 12.7; ROI 32.5%

Clijsters v Dementieva
Indian Wells - Semi Final

An interesting match-up - the ex-champion Clijsters showing great form while coming back form a wrist injury versus the up-and-down yet classy Dementieva who has been defying opinions and a lot of money all week by continuing to win. The factors in Clijsters favour include her great record at Indian Wells, her success rate in Semi-Finals and Finals, her 5-1 h2h over Dementieva (though some of these matches are dated), her ratings improval in my database has improved over the past month more than Dementieva's (both form and surface), and her motivation during interviews has been very positive. As a minor aside (purely anecdotal), we're likely to see the return of her arch rival Henin-Hardenne from injury next week so Clijster's will be looking to outperform her in comeback matches (this is a HUGE rivalry). Dementieva is certainly capable of beating Clijsters and has an excellent record on US hardcourts. She's played well at Indian Wells before and has just beaten one of her Russian rivals Kuznetsova in the Quarters. Her matches this week have involved an element of 'luck' as both were comeback from behind victories. Her weakest link is her serve which can be all over the place - something Clijster's with her new aggressive technique will be looking to exploit. Dementieva has also been complaining in interviews that she's playing her worst tennis for years - though she's still winning! The Russian claims to be having trouble concentrating but whether these are just mind games with her opponent we're yet to see. I have Clijster's as a clear favourite and while she's right on the value line, I'll take the bet.

Clijsters $1.50 @ Pinnacle and Betfair.

Marco,
A few questions:

You really seem to a have great knowledge on the WTA. How long have you been analyzing and betting WTA?

What is your overall R.O.I?

Do you use a model to obtain ratings and prices?

Do you rate ALL WTA matches (not just the ones you mention here)?

Cheers!

Bartoli vs Dulko
Dubai

French teenage sensation Bartoli is yet another who has performed well
in qualifying with wins over Talaja, Foretz and Voskoboeva. She's in solid
form this year and has showed considerable fighting spirit and great baseline
play when up against the likes of Sharapova. Bartoli had good showings in Paris and Doha while her opponent Dulko has had mixed results. A good showing in Hobart in January was followed by some very mixed form as demonstrated last week against Medina-Garrigues and her total capitulation to Sharapova.Dulko always seems to play better on the US hardcourt swing so I expect improved resultsin the coming weeks. Despite a slight knee niggle earlier this month (forced retirement), the match-ready Bartoli justifies her odds. I rate her a 71.1% chance.

Bartoli $1.45 @ SportsTab or StanJames
(1.25 hours till game time)

Yeah, all true, but...Dulko is HOT!

And let's face it-that's the only reason we watch women's tennis!

Now, where's Tatiana Golovin???

Excellent work Marcos. 5 from 5.

One last question about Pinnacle if I can be indulgent.

Did u use the Paypal option or the direct deposit through Shanghai. They don't accept direct payments thru my Visa card.

Keep up the good work

Karla

Sorry Marco

Pinnacle - should read Netteller (not Paypal)

Update

27 bets: 21 Wins; 6 Losses
At Flat Stakes: Bet 27; Won 6.88; ROI 25.4%

Well Haynes managed to do the job despite a few injury timeouts and courtside treatment. Relatively tight matches for Karatancheva, Vaidisova and Cho, but all won through.

Second Round tips posted around 8:30 AEST.

Congrats mate. I had Karatancheva and Vaidisova as well, had a little bit of a scare especially with Karatancheva and her 16 double faults!!

Look forward to your tips tonight. Do you follow the ATP as well? That is my mainstay and it would be good to have someone to bounce ideas off.

I extend my congratulations for a great effort 4/4

the prices for womens tennis sure vary.

Karatancheva 1.70 - william hill
1.46 centerbet
1.57 ladbrooks

Do you find this sort of thing often. Could have bet both sides.

Must get that Pinnacle account organised.

Thanks again
Karla

ps - sparkus8 - I do ATP - see u soon at that thread