Lots of truth there Puntz - got my new Android 4G phone the other day only because my well used ancient Nokia finally bit the dust, RIP & think I have spent more time looking after it than my dogs of late!

it does have some pretty cool stuff tho...

Let's hope if your brain is imported or replicated into a computer, that computer is not runned nor maintained by BF.
May as well be dead!

__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 402,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/05/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg

more and more posts are confirming my own thoughts.
maybe not on allowed to mention on this forum but luxbet looks promising so far.
not every day and on every race but if one is only betting selectively it may of value.

Cheers

I didn't find Betfair as being rubbish.

The constant closures for website maintenance without appropriate warning are annoying and frustrating though.

Yes not criticising the betting medium, just the IT infrastructure.
It's more offline than the Terminator these days.

__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 402,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/05/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg

Hi AngryPixie,

Apologies for the late reply, I've literally been in the thick of it, sat between two Sri Lankans, going through a veritable roller coaster of emotions at the MCG. I'm glad I don't bet on sports matches because I don't think my heart could've taken it! What a match!!!

I agree wholeheartedly with your last sentence in the quotation. One can probably play any price bracket with success, be it backing or laying, so long as you can accurately evaluate overlays vs underlays to your advantage.

My rule of thumb is to find a horse that I believe is 1-2 lengths better then the opposition in the chosen race. I then wait for the right price. On an average Saturday there will be 10-15 selections, of which I will bet between 4-8 of these selections depending on the price on offer. Watch enough races and you get a feel for the obvious factors that will make this horse favourite and that horse 2nd favourite etc. Sometimes the market will confuse you no end, in this instance, take a paracetamol (or 3 deep breaths), step away, then back your instincts.

I don't for a second pretend to know it all, however I know that what I do works, I assume it's the same with your lay selections. You understand the ups and downs, ins and outs.

My downfall for the best part of my early punting career was threefold; lacking direction, impatience and not demanding value.

Reverse these three things and you're in business.

The Schmile

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Chrome, this is pretty much why I gave this away. Just became too frustrating to have finished virtually in the same place you'd started at when the end of the week came around. The journey during that week was one of incredible ups and downs, and over time it seemed to me that the ups where smaller and the downs bigger. Just doesn't fit with where I'm at. The margin's not big enough for me. Much prefer the destination to have been worth the journey.

__________________
Pixie

"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash

THE UPS AND DOWN OF US RACING CHECK AQUEDUCT FOR FEB or ABOUT 20 RACING DAYS
IT'S AN ANALYSIS OF HOW THE FAVORITES HAVE PERFORMED IN FEBRUARY 2012.

* HERE ARE SOME IMPORTANT DETAILS:

1. OUT OF 147 RACES THE FAVORITE HAS BEEN AT EVEN MONEY OR LESS 48 TIMES.

2. THESE ODDS-ON FAVORITES HAVE WON 70.8 % OF THEIR RACES.

3. ALL FAVORITES HAVE WON 44.9 % OF THEIR
RACES.

4. NOTE THAT FAVORITES GOING OFF AT ODDS GREATER THAN EVEN MONEY BUT = TO OR LESS THAN 2.20 WON EXACTLY 33.3 % OF THEIR RACES.



HERE IS SOME INTERESTING INFO CONCERNING ODDS-ON FAVORITES AT AQUEDUCT FOR FEBRUARY.

* WITH 70.8 % WINNERS YOU WOULD NEED A BREAK-EVEN PAYOFF FOR $1 OF $1.41 (1/ 70.8 % = $1.41).

* THE ACTUAL AVERAGE P.O. FOR $1 HAS BEEN $1.58.

* THAT REPRESENTS A RETURN OF $1.12 FOR EVERY $1 INVESTED:

1. $1.58 (AVERAGE P.O. FOR $1) X 34 WINS = $53.65.

2. $1.12 (RETURN PER $1 INVESTED) X $48 INVESTED = $53.65.

3. $1.41 (BREAK-EVEN P.O. FOR $1) X 34 WINS = $48 INVESTMENT.

I'm reasonably sure that nobody took my advice but there you go.
My results?
Friday, 22 markets, won on 21.
Today, 33 markets, won on 25.
Just over 3% POT for very little risk.
Most races were no risk.

Didn't follow your advice to the letter, but tidied up my own strategy around the edges with a few of your tips,so a big thank-you for that Mark.
Last night at MV was a wipe-out for me though, how did you go there?
Favs galore, sad but true.

__________________
Jose'.